Nissan: Full-Year Profit Forecast Cuts and Management Overhauls

According to Bloomberg, Nissan Motor Co. (7201), Japan’s second-biggest carmaker, lowered its full-year profit forecast by 15 percent after demand in emerging markets slowed and recall costs mounted.

The company expects to post net income of 355 billion yen ($3.6 billion) in the year ending March 31, it said today. That’s below the Yokohama, Japan-based carmaker’s previous forecast of 420 billion yen and the 440.3 billion yen average of 18 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Profit is still projected to rise from the previous year as the weaker yen helps bolster earnings.

Chief Executive Officer Carlos Ghosn also announced an overhaul of Nissan’s management as he pursues an operating profit margin target of 8 percent by the year ending March 2017. The changes and earnings shortfall come amid slowing sales in some emerging markets and a recall of 910,000 vehicles that Goldman Sachs Group Inc. estimates will cost the company about 15 billion yen.

“The outlook in Thailand will remain quite weak this year mainly due to the lack of pent-up demand,” said Ashvin Chotai, managing director of Intelligence Automotive Asia in London. “It’s also certainly hard to be optimistic about Indonesia — it’s a market which is always going to be volatile.”

Nissan also lowered its forecasts for operating profit and revenue.

Under the management changes, Chief Operating Officer Toshiyuki Shiga will become vice chairman and remain on the board, though the COO position will be abolished.

Nissan CEO Carlos Ghosn (Bloomberg)

New Lieutenants

Three new positions will be created — reporting directly to Ghosn — to fill Shiga’s void, according to the company.

Among Ghosn’s new lieutenants will be Executive Vice President Hiroto Saikawa, who will be chief competitive officer overseeing the supply chain, research and development, as well purchasing and manufacturing, Nissan said. Executive Vice Presidents Andy Palmer and Trevor Mann will also take on positions as chief planning officer and chief performance officer, respectively, the company said.

Colin Dodge, currently executive vice president, will take on a new role managing special projects and report directly to Ghosn. Kimiyasu Nakamura, president of Chinese joint venture Dongfeng Motor Co., will assume companywide responsibility for customer satisfaction, reporting to Saikawa.

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Is it Right: More Money Means More Health Problems in Asia?

Flavored juice drinks sit on a shelf in a grocery store in Manila. (Bloomberg)

According to The Wall Street Journal, MANILA — Economies in Southeast Asia are not the only things growing in the region. Waistlines are too – and that has doctors and health experts worried about the strains a clutch of new health problems could put on many countries still in the process of developing.

Rapid economic growth has created new and expanding middles classes in places like Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam. But new affluence is also driving up the rate of “life-style” diseases, including hypertension, cancer, diabetes and chronic respiratory illness, say doctors.

Together, those diseases account for 80% of the deaths in Asia, but health experts say it need not be that way – most could be addressed by people simply changing the way they eat and live.

“We must have behavior change,” Shin Young-soo, the World Health Organization’s regional director for the Western Pacific, said during a recent health summit in Manila.

As regional incomes improve, people have more money to spend on fast food and processed snacks. In recent years, demand for meat and dairy has also risen dramatically in many of Southeast Asia’s emerging economies.

But changes in diets combined with lack of exercise has made Asians more prone to diabetes than their counterparts in the West, said Dr. Shin, one of nearly 200 health and development experts attending a week-long gathering here aimed at discussing non-communicable diseases and finding way to combat them.

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Rising Wages may Pose a Dilemma for China

China's rising wages may improve consumer spending but will also hurt export competitiveness and business profitability

China’s rising wages may improve consumer spending but will also hurt export competitiveness and business profitability

Tom Orlik from WSJ reports that China is showing rapid increases in wages and signs of resilience in hiring despite slowing growth, a reassuring sign for leaders seeking to put more money in the pockets of ordinary Chinese, but a trend that could prove difficult to sustain as countries nearby threaten to encroach on China’s manufacturing dominance.

Chinese private-sector wages rose 14% in 2012, data showed Friday, good news overall for Beijing’s push to make consumer spending a more important part of growth. But higher labor costs also hurt business profitability and export competitiveness—which could pose its own risks to the economic recovery.

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Indonesia: IPOs ride economic growth

20120207171513093A flurry of initial public offerings (IPOs) planned for December and early 2013 highlight how firms in Indonesia are trying to harness bullish domestic and global confidence to fund plans for expansion.

Currently leading the pack is Indonesia AirAsia, whose planned IPO hopes to raise some Rp1.7trn ($175.78m) in early 2013. The aviation firm is closely followed by state-owned plantation firm Perkebunan Nusantara’s Rp1.5trn ($155.1m) listing, also scheduled for 2013, and state-run construction company Waskita Karya’s Rp1.2trn ($124.08m) December IPO.

The Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) saw two IPOs in December, bringing the total number of listings for 2012 to 23. This is down on the 24 IPOs seen in 2011, but continues to underline international sentiment over the vast archipelago’s private equity prospects.

A survey conducted by private equity firm Coller Capital saw nascent Asian economies, such as Indonesia and Vietnam, favoured by one-fifth of investors over the more mature markets found in other Asian countries, including China and India.

Northstar Pacific Partners, a local partner of global investor TPG Capital, for example, raised $800m in 2011 to invest in Indonesian companies. Other large firms, such as Starwood Capital Group, are circling in search of deals, according to reports from the Wall Street Journal.

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IMF Scales Back Southeast Asia Growth Forecast

The International Monetary Fund has cut its forecast on the economic growth of five nations in Southeast Asia to better reflect faltering growth in the global economy. Monday’s assessment, released in a report by the IMF, was the latest development institution to announce an assessment after the World Bank cut its economic growth forecast for next year.

The IMF cut the economic growth forecast for Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam, which together are known as the Asean 5, to expand 6.1 percent in 2013, slightly lower that its earlier forecast of 6.2 percent. It cut the global economic outlook for growth to 3.9 percent next year, from its previous forecast of 4.1 percent.

Still, the IMF, which loaned billions of dollars to Thailand and Indonesia during the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis with strict conditions, maintained the growth forecast for the year at 5.4 percent, unchanged from its forecast three months ago.

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China’s Wen Vows Job Creation as Growth Slows

Reutor

Reutors have reported on China’s job market.

China’s job market could turn for the worse and the government needs to step up efforts to create more jobs, Premier Wen Jiabao said in remarks published on Wednesday, underscoring official concerns about an economic slowdown.

“Currently and in the future, China’s employment situation will become more complex and more severe,” the official China Securities Journal quoted Wen as saying.

“The task of promoting full employment will be very heavy and we must make greater efforts to achieve it,” he added.

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Giant Japan pension fund to dip toe in emerging markets

Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund, the world’s biggest public pension fund, said on Monday it had selected six asset managers to make its first investments in emerging markets as it tries to boost returns in the face of rising payout obligations.

Known as GPIF, the pension fund, whose 108.1 trillion yen ($1.35 trillion) in total assets nearly matches the size of the Spanish economy, has become a net seller of its assets in recent years as it tries to cope with Japan’s rapidly aging population.

Market analysts expected the investment in emerging market equities to start at around several hundred billion yen, too small to have a big impact on overall returns, but said the move was an important step to diversify the fund’s portfolio.

The pension fund, which issued a tender for active and passive managers in October 2010, selected Invesco (IVZ.N), Nomura Asset Management, Nomura Funds Research and Technologies, Mizuho Asset Management, Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management and Lazard Asset Management (LAZ.N). It said there were no suitable managers for passive investments.

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China, Singapore Exempted From U.S. Iran Oil Sanctions

The U.S. said China and Singapore have “significantly reduced” their purchases of Iranian oil, earning exemptions from U.S. financial sanctions that otherwise would have been imposed yesterday.

China was the biggest importer of Iranian crude last year, and Singapore is Asia’s oil trading and refining hub. The U.S. granted renewable, 180-day exemptions on March 20 to Japan and 10 European Union nations. India, South Korea, Turkey, South Africa, Malaysia, Sri Lanka and Taiwan won exemptions June 11.

An EU ban on Iranian oil imports goes into effect July 1. The EU collectively was the second-largest buyer of Iranian oil in the first half of 2011. As a nation, Japan ranked second behind China, according to the U.S. Energy Department.

Clinton said reduced oil exports are costing Iran almost $8 billion a quarter in lost revenue. That estimate is based on a drop in crude exports to 1.5 million barrels a day from 2.5 million a day in 2011 as reported by the International Energy Agency in Paris, she said.

“Secretary Clinton has assured me that at this time China has met the significant reduction standard required by the law and recent precedent to qualify for an exemption from sanctions,” said Democratic Senator Robert Menendez of New Jersey, who sponsored the legislation with Republican Senator Mark Kirk of Illinois.

Mark Wallace, chief executive officer of United Against Nuclear Iran, a New York-based advocacy group, said in an e-mail that the world oil supply presents a “unique opportunity” for nations to stop all Iranian oil purchases.

Republican Representative Ileana Ros-Lehtinen of Florida, who heads the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said in an e- mailed statement that the administration granted a “free pass” to China, which she called “Iran’s biggest enabler.”

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Indonesia May Allow Banks to Own as Much as 90% of Local Lenders, Including DBS Group’s Bid for PT Bank Danamon

As reported by Discover Indonesia, the World’ Sexiest Destination for Investments, with Edgar Perez @ Private Equity Happy HourBloomberg’s Hidayat Setiaji and Sharon Chen, Indonesia may allow banks to own as much as 90 percent of commercial lenders, easing concerns on ownership caps that may affect acquisitions including DBS Group Holdings Ltd.’s bid for PT Bank Danamon Indonesia.

Bank Indonesia plans to announce the ownership rule before July, Deputy Governor Muliaman Hadad, who’s in charge of banking regulations, said in Jakarta after a speech today.

The ownership stake “could be that high,” Hadad said, responding queries from reporters on whether banks could own as much as 90 percent of local lenders. “Of course this will be on a very selective basis.”

The comment comes two months after Singapore’s DBS’s 66 trillion rupiah ($7 billion) bid for Danamon, which triggered proposals from Bank Indonesia’s officials to restrict the shareholding of local lenders by other financial institutions. The possible limit led traders to bet that the deal, Southeast Asia’s largest banking takeover, may unravel.

“There has been a lot of relatively negative news flow on Indonesia’s recent regulatory changes,” said Anand Pathmakanthan, a Singapore-based analyst at Nomura Equity Research who has a “buy” rating on DBS (DBS) shares. “So this could be a bit of a white flag, sort of a concession by Indonesian authorities to indicate to the market that they are open to foreign direct investments. Chances are definitely higher with this so-called concession.”

Indonesia’s parliament this week approved Hadad to head the board of a national financial regulator due to start operating in January 2013.

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How Asia Will Fare if Europe Cracks

BY ALEX FRANGOS

As the Euro Zone Flirts With Disaster, Asian Economies Stand at Varying Degrees of Preparedness

HONG KONG—Greek elections may have assuaged fears of a European financial contagion spreading to Asia, at least for the moment. But as troubles brew in Spain, where borrowing costs shot up again Tuesday, and as Greece faces more painful cuts to meet bailout targets by September, many wonder who in Asia is most exposed should Europe’s economy and financial system finally crack.

Lessons from the 2008 financial crisis show that while all of Asia tends to get hit when the world economy shudders, the severity differs depending on which countries have the biggest trade and financial linkages to the rest …

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