China’s Economy Could Lose Big-time If Japan Firms Suffer From Isles Row

China’s economy could take a severe beating if Japanese companies falter in the escalating standoff over sovereignty of the Senkaku Islands.

In a nutshell, China needs Japanese companies to keep unemployment in check and to promote development in rural areas, particularly as its economy is slowing.

On Sept. 18, thousands of Chinese employees of a Japanese-affiliated electronics manufacturer took part in anti-Japan demonstrations. No sooner had they returned to work than they started demanding a wage hike at two plants operated by the company.

Local government officials and police officers quickly stepped in. They told the Japanese employees to stay behind, citing the risk of confronting the Chinese workers directly, according to sources.

Government officials have since been involved in negotiations on a possible wage hike, the sources said.

Authorities were apparently determined to rein in any employee demands that could jeopardize the company’s ability to do business.

 

Read more

Chinese Stocks Advance on Home Prices, Manufacturing

Most Chinese stocks rose after the nation’s home prices advanced for the first time in 10 months and manufacturing indicators beat forecasts.

Poly Real Estate Group Co., the nation’s second-biggest property developer, surged 2.3 percent as data showed home prices across 100 cities increased in June. Aluminum Corp. of China Ltd. paced an advance for material stocks as speculation Europe’s debt crisis is easing bolstered the outlook for commodities demand. SAIC Motor Corp., the biggest Chinese automaker, slid 8.5 percent after the Guangzhou Daily reported that Guangzhou city will cap the number of new car purchases.

Six stocks gained for every two that declined on the Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP), which rose less than 0.1 percent to 2,226.11 at the close. The CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300) added 0.2 percent to 2,465.24. The Bloomberg China-US 55 Index (CH55BN), the measure of the most-traded U.S.-listed Chinese companies, jumped 2.9 percent in New York on June 29.

China’s manufacturing “data was better than expected and there seemed to be some resolution in Europe,” said Mao Sheng, an analyst for Huaxi Securities Co. in Chengdu. “Still, investors are quite concerned about the economy.”

Read More

Indonesia May Allow Banks to Own as Much as 90% of Local Lenders, Including DBS Group’s Bid for PT Bank Danamon

As reported by Discover Indonesia, the World’ Sexiest Destination for Investments, with Edgar Perez @ Private Equity Happy HourBloomberg’s Hidayat Setiaji and Sharon Chen, Indonesia may allow banks to own as much as 90 percent of commercial lenders, easing concerns on ownership caps that may affect acquisitions including DBS Group Holdings Ltd.’s bid for PT Bank Danamon Indonesia.

Bank Indonesia plans to announce the ownership rule before July, Deputy Governor Muliaman Hadad, who’s in charge of banking regulations, said in Jakarta after a speech today.

The ownership stake “could be that high,” Hadad said, responding queries from reporters on whether banks could own as much as 90 percent of local lenders. “Of course this will be on a very selective basis.”

The comment comes two months after Singapore’s DBS’s 66 trillion rupiah ($7 billion) bid for Danamon, which triggered proposals from Bank Indonesia’s officials to restrict the shareholding of local lenders by other financial institutions. The possible limit led traders to bet that the deal, Southeast Asia’s largest banking takeover, may unravel.

“There has been a lot of relatively negative news flow on Indonesia’s recent regulatory changes,” said Anand Pathmakanthan, a Singapore-based analyst at Nomura Equity Research who has a “buy” rating on DBS (DBS) shares. “So this could be a bit of a white flag, sort of a concession by Indonesian authorities to indicate to the market that they are open to foreign direct investments. Chances are definitely higher with this so-called concession.”

Indonesia’s parliament this week approved Hadad to head the board of a national financial regulator due to start operating in January 2013.

Read More

How Asia Will Fare if Europe Cracks

BY ALEX FRANGOS

As the Euro Zone Flirts With Disaster, Asian Economies Stand at Varying Degrees of Preparedness

HONG KONG—Greek elections may have assuaged fears of a European financial contagion spreading to Asia, at least for the moment. But as troubles brew in Spain, where borrowing costs shot up again Tuesday, and as Greece faces more painful cuts to meet bailout targets by September, many wonder who in Asia is most exposed should Europe’s economy and financial system finally crack.

Lessons from the 2008 financial crisis show that while all of Asia tends to get hit when the world economy shudders, the severity differs depending on which countries have the biggest trade and financial linkages to the rest …

View More

Nikkei ends at 5-week high, softer yen supports

By Dominic Lau TOKYO, June 21 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average broke above 8,800 for the first time in five weeks on Thursday, as sentiment was buoyed by a softer yen after the U.S. Federal Reserve held back from more aggressive stimulus steps to prop up the economy.

The benchmark Nikkei hit its highest closing level since May
17 and has recovered 7 percent from a six-month low on June 4.

Shrugging off a survey showing China’s vast manufacturing sector slowing for the eighth straight month, the Nikkei rose 0.8 percent to 8,824.07, driven by exporters, such as Honda Motor Co Ltd, up 3.5 percent, and Canon Inc, adding 1.4 percent. The Fed disappointed some investors by delivering only a limited expansion of monetary stimulus on Wednesday. It extended its “Operation Twist” beyond its original June expiration to the end of the year to boost the flagging U.S. recovery. It also cut its GDP growth estimates for the year.

“The fact they eased at all is a plus for the U.S. economy, while holding off on QE3 is good for the Japanese market as it didn’t strengthen the yen,” said Hideyuki Ishiguro, assistant manager of investment strategy at Okasan Securities.

View More

Evergrande stock tumbles on fraud accusation

By Chris Oliver, MarketWatch

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd. was drawn into the controversy over questionable accounting practices at listed Chinese companies Thursday, as its board denied allegations of financial impropriety leveled by the Los Angeles–based stock-commentary website Citron Research.

Evergrande
Signing ceremony for the development projects of Chongjiang Jiangjin Evergrande Splendor International Skiing Health Resort and Chongqing Yucai Middle School n January 2012.

The Hong Kong–listed shares of Evergrande HK:3333 -11.38%  EGRNF -6.14% ended down 11.4% at 3.97 Hong Kong dollars (51 U.S. cents), shedding 51 Hong Kong cents from its previous session’s close, and paring an earlier, steeper drop of as much as 88 Hong Kong cents.

Citron said in summary research posted on its website that it had concluded that Guangzhou-based Evergrande is “essentially an insolvent company that has consistently presented fraudulent information to the investing public.”

China Manufacturing Slump May Match That Of 2008 Crisis

By Bloomberg News – Jun 21, 2012

A worker sews shirts at a factory in Shenzhen, Guangdong province, China.

China’s manufacturing may shrink for an eighth month in June, matching the streak during the global financial crisis in a signal the government’s stimulus has yet to reverse the economy’s slowdown.

The preliminary reading was 48.1 for a purchasing managers’ index today from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics. Above-50 readings indicate expansion. The lowest crisis level was 40.9 in November 2008, when industrial production increased 5.4 percent from a year earlier, compared with a gain of 9.6 percent last month.

Today’s report contrasts with comments by officials expressing confidence growth will rebound, with President Hu Jintaosaying in remarks published June 17 that China has taken “targeted measures” to boost domestic demand. Asian stocks fell and the yuan weakened for a second day against the dollar.

View More

A Bric hits the wall

By P.F. Pune, May 31st 2012

INDIA’S economy has had some bad economic ideas inflicted on it over the past century, from imperial neglect to the cult of the village and big-ticket socialism. Maybe the concept of BRICs—a handful of emerging economies including India that were destined for fast growth—should be added to the list. It led to a bubble of complacency that is now being popped rather brutally. Growth in India was 5.3% in the three months to March—worse than the 6% expected, below the prior quarter and way below the close-to-double digit rates that were meant to be preordained and propel India to economic super-power status.

India, unlike the other BRIC countries, is still desperately poor.

Other BRICs have slowed too, including China and Brazil. But India’s GDP figures, the worst for at least nine years, will have a deep impact on the sub-continent. The country was meant to grow in its sleep—regardless of what happens in the rest of the world. A quick bounce back looks unlikely. The central bank has cut interest rates a little this year, but will struggle to loosen policy further given high inflation. The ruling coalition keeps on promising a bout of reforms to boost confidence, but it is so divided, its behaviour so erratic and its record of delivery so poor that few believe this will actually happen. Expectations for growth over the next couple of years will probably slip further, to 6%.

View More

Asia stocks gain as Fed hopes rise

By Virginia Harrison and Nick Godt, MarketWatch

Asian market indexes have shows increases in stock prices

MUMBAI (MarketWatch) — Asia markets rose Wednesday as hopes for a fresh round of stimulus to revitalize the U.S. economy buoyed sentiment, though trading volumes were light, suggesting caution in the markets.

Japan’s Nikkei Stock Average JP:100000018 +1.11%  outperformed with a gain of 1.1%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HK:HSI +0.53% rose 0.5%. South Korea’s KospiKR:SEU +0.65%  gained 0.7% and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index AU:XJO +0.22%  added 0.2%.

The Shanghai Composite CN:000001 -0.34%  bucked the trend, however, slipping 0.4%.

Upbeat U.S. housing data and the prospect of more monetary easing by the Federal Reserve helped to drive Wall Street stocks to five-week highs Tuesday. Read more on the U.S. session.

The U.S. central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee was slated to wrap up a two-day policy meeting later Wednesday, with many analysts expecting the Fed would step in to support the economic recovery through an extension of its “Operation Twist” program. Read a preview of the Fed meeting.

“Markets are edging up on hopes of quantitative-easing-type programs being implemented by the Fed in the next 24 hours,” said Tom Kaan, director equity sales at Louis Capital in Hong Kong.

View More

Korea Corporate Yield Premium Set To Rebound, UBS Hana Says

By Jiyeun Lee and Taejin Park – Jun 19, 2012

Kia Motors is rated AA at Korea Investors Service and the yield on its 4.18 percent bonds due November 2017 increased four basis points, or 0.04 percentage point, this month to 3.85 percent as of June 18, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Source: Kia Motor Corp. via Bloomberg

A rally in South Korea’s corporate debt is drawing to an end after yields on the securities fell to the lowest level in five years relative to government bonds, according to UBS Hana Asset Management Co.

The premium investors demand to hold three-year AA bonds instead of similar-maturity sovereign notes was 41 basis points on May 29, down 26 basis points from the start of the year and the lowest since September 2007, according to data compiled by Koscom Corp. The gap widened to 46 basis points on June 18 and may increase a further 20 basis points this year, according to Hwang Jae Hong, who oversees 12 trillion won ($10.4 billion) as head of fixed income at UBS Hana, a Seoul-based joint venture between UBS AG (UBSN) and Hana Financial Group.

“Company bonds gained from October as, with the central bank holding rates, investors didn’t see much opportunity in sovereign bonds,” Hwang said in a June 18 interview in Seoul. “There should now be a technical widening in corporate spreads with investors starting to reap gains, although Korean companies’ fundamentals are still strong.”

View More