Nissan: Full-Year Profit Forecast Cuts and Management Overhauls

According to Bloomberg, Nissan Motor Co. (7201), Japan’s second-biggest carmaker, lowered its full-year profit forecast by 15 percent after demand in emerging markets slowed and recall costs mounted.

The company expects to post net income of 355 billion yen ($3.6 billion) in the year ending March 31, it said today. That’s below the Yokohama, Japan-based carmaker’s previous forecast of 420 billion yen and the 440.3 billion yen average of 18 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Profit is still projected to rise from the previous year as the weaker yen helps bolster earnings.

Chief Executive Officer Carlos Ghosn also announced an overhaul of Nissan’s management as he pursues an operating profit margin target of 8 percent by the year ending March 2017. The changes and earnings shortfall come amid slowing sales in some emerging markets and a recall of 910,000 vehicles that Goldman Sachs Group Inc. estimates will cost the company about 15 billion yen.

“The outlook in Thailand will remain quite weak this year mainly due to the lack of pent-up demand,” said Ashvin Chotai, managing director of Intelligence Automotive Asia in London. “It’s also certainly hard to be optimistic about Indonesia — it’s a market which is always going to be volatile.”

Nissan also lowered its forecasts for operating profit and revenue.

Under the management changes, Chief Operating Officer Toshiyuki Shiga will become vice chairman and remain on the board, though the COO position will be abolished.

Nissan CEO Carlos Ghosn (Bloomberg)

New Lieutenants

Three new positions will be created — reporting directly to Ghosn — to fill Shiga’s void, according to the company.

Among Ghosn’s new lieutenants will be Executive Vice President Hiroto Saikawa, who will be chief competitive officer overseeing the supply chain, research and development, as well purchasing and manufacturing, Nissan said. Executive Vice Presidents Andy Palmer and Trevor Mann will also take on positions as chief planning officer and chief performance officer, respectively, the company said.

Colin Dodge, currently executive vice president, will take on a new role managing special projects and report directly to Ghosn. Kimiyasu Nakamura, president of Chinese joint venture Dongfeng Motor Co., will assume companywide responsibility for customer satisfaction, reporting to Saikawa.

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Investors Welcome Malaysia Reform Budget

Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak (Bloomberg News)

According to The Wall Street Journal, upcoming national elections seem likely to hinder sorely needed economic reforms in places like India and Indonesia. Not so in Malaysia, where Prime Minister Najib Razak’s resounding victory in general elections last May gives him the leeway to push a reform agenda.

Mr. Najib’s 2014 budget presentation last Friday centered on reforms he believes will help balance the nations’ books by 2020. Key among them is a 6% tax on goods and services that Mr. Najib has talked of for years but never had the political clearance to push through – until now.

He also scrapped a sugar subsidy for consumers and announced the government will move to a system of targeted subsidies where only the poorer members of society would benefit from cheaper food items, cooking oil and fuel.

The government says targeted payouts will lower the total subsidy bill – which makes up about 18% of government spending – by some 15.6% next year. Mr. Najib said next year’s subsidy bill will fall to 39.41 billion ringgit ($12.6 billion) from this year’s 46.70 billion ringgit ($14.9 billion).

Mr. Najib forecast a budget deficit of 3.5% next year, down from a projected 4.0% this year.

Opposition parties warned they would protest the new goods-and-services tax – which in any case will exempt basic food items and essential services — but analysts and ratings agencies generally welcomed the budget. So too did investors, who sent the ringgit to a four-month high of 3.1425 against the U.S. dollar Monday, while the yield on the benchmark 10-year government bond hit a three-month low of 3.59. Stocks were little changed.

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Is it Right: More Money Means More Health Problems in Asia?

Flavored juice drinks sit on a shelf in a grocery store in Manila. (Bloomberg)

According to The Wall Street Journal, MANILA — Economies in Southeast Asia are not the only things growing in the region. Waistlines are too – and that has doctors and health experts worried about the strains a clutch of new health problems could put on many countries still in the process of developing.

Rapid economic growth has created new and expanding middles classes in places like Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam. But new affluence is also driving up the rate of “life-style” diseases, including hypertension, cancer, diabetes and chronic respiratory illness, say doctors.

Together, those diseases account for 80% of the deaths in Asia, but health experts say it need not be that way – most could be addressed by people simply changing the way they eat and live.

“We must have behavior change,” Shin Young-soo, the World Health Organization’s regional director for the Western Pacific, said during a recent health summit in Manila.

As regional incomes improve, people have more money to spend on fast food and processed snacks. In recent years, demand for meat and dairy has also risen dramatically in many of Southeast Asia’s emerging economies.

But changes in diets combined with lack of exercise has made Asians more prone to diabetes than their counterparts in the West, said Dr. Shin, one of nearly 200 health and development experts attending a week-long gathering here aimed at discussing non-communicable diseases and finding way to combat them.

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Indonesia Home Prices Rise as Demand Bucks Higher Rates

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

According to Bloomberg, Indonesia’s most aggressive monetary tightening since 2005 is set to slow economic growth without denting soaring property demand in the world’s fourth-most populous nation.

A young population, elevated inflation and property-price gains that outpace interest rates are spurring real-estate sales from Jakarta to Manado. Home prices in the third quarter probably rose 14.6 percent from a year earlier, according to a Bank Indonesia survey, while the Indonesian Real Estate Association predicts housing sales will climb more than 50 percent this year.

“Indonesia has a huge population, that’s a potential market for us,” said Setyo Maharso, chairman of the Indonesian real estate association, which predicts 2013 property sales will rise to 400,000 units from 260,000 last year. “For our buyers, as long as they have the ability to pay monthly installments, sales will keep increasing till the year end.”

With foreigners restricted from owning property in SoutheastAsia’s biggest economy, Indonesia is confronting a surge in local demand rather than the capital inflows that spurred record home prices in neighboring Singapore and Hong Kong. After the central bank imposed stricter loan-to-value ratios for mortgages, persistent price gains may prompt the government to raise some real-estate taxes, PT Bank Danamon Indonesia said.

“By giving a luxury tax, especially for high-end properties, it would help to curb home-price increases,” said Anton Gunawan, chief economist at Bank Danamon who was a candidate for the No. 2 job at the central bank this year. “Returns from property remain high as there’s an expectation that home prices are still rising.”

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UBS Leading Southeast Asia Stock Sales on Billionaires

 

UBS Leading Southeast Asia Stock Sales on Billionaires

UBS AG (UBSN) jumped to the lead among share-sale underwriters in Southeast Asia for the first time in six years, capitalizing on its relationships with wealthy families and a surge in equity offerings in countries including the Philippines.

The Swiss bank worked on deals equal to 37 percent of the total value of equity sales in the region in the first half, compared with 26 percent for second-placed CIMB Group Holdings Bhd., data compiled by Bloomberg show. UBS won roles on the biggest-ever share sales in the Philippines, Thailand and Indonesia, including PT Matahari Department Store (LPPF)’s $1.4 billion offering in March.

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Asian corporates face higher financing costs

Asian corporates face higher financing costs

MANILA, Philippines – Asian corporates face higher financing costs for expansion plans as the recent financial market turmoil underscored the fast-growing region’s vulnerability to sell-offs, an investment bank said yesterday.

“In the context of weak global growth and stalling demand from China, falling asset values and rising funding costs are likely to hit capex plans, particularly in Southeast Asia,” Barclays said in a report.

Capital expenditures or capex pertain to firms’ spending to boost production and expand businesses. The British lender said at this early, capital goods imports have already turned “negative” for Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines.

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Malaysia’s Economy at Risk with Growing Consumer Debt

Malaysia’s consumer debt is at 76.6 per cent of its GDP and some economists believe that the growing consumer credit could rock the country’s economy.

Malaysia’s consumer debt is at 76.6 per cent of its GDP and some economists believe that the growing consumer credit could rock the country’s economy.

Malaysia’s consumer debt is at 76.6 per cent of its GDP and some economists believe that the growing consumer credit — where each ringgit of growth nearly matches an extra ringgit of consumer debt — could rock the country’s economy, the Financial Times (FT) reported today.

The country’s household debt ratio is the highest in the region, the influential daily reported, citing Johanna Chua, an economist at Citigroup, who believed this makes the Southeast Asia’s third largest economy vulnerable, especially as lower-income households bear a greater share of the overall debt.

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Indonesia’s Infrastructure Development is Deterred by Poor Planning

Infrastructure failings clip the wings of Indonesian airport  due to poor planning and communication

Infrastructure failings clip the wings of Indonesian airport due to poor planning and communication

Reported by Ben Bland from the Financial Times: that the state-of-the-art Rp5.2tn ($527m) Kuala Namu airport rises elegantly out of degraded plantation and swamp land 30km from the rapidly-expanding city of Medan, the biggest on the resource-rich island of Sumatra.

But because of the failure to build a planned toll road, Indonesia’s first world-class airport can only be reached by a tortuous route through narrow lanes that pass village after village, with schoolchildren cycling idly into the oncoming traffic and farmers drying rice by the road side.

“It’s a beautiful building in the middle of nowhere,” conceded Kuntoro Mangkusubroto, who is responsible for monitoring key infrastructure projects as the head of President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s delivery unit, shaking his head mournfully. “There was no joined-up thinking on the toll road, airport and train system.”

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Yudhoyono Buffeted by Fuel as Indonesia Election Nears: Economy

yudhoyono-susilo-bambang_indonasian-presidentAccording to Bloomberg’s Sharon Chen and Novrida Manurung, Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono is under growing pressure to raise fuel prices and curb oil imports as currency risks persist and the window to act narrows ahead of elections in 2014.

The government will probably need to increase subsidized- fuel prices this year, according to economists at Bank of America Corp., Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., Standard Chartered Plc, PT Bank Danamon Indonesia and Moody’s Analytics. The country limited the use of partially government- funded diesel last week and the trade minister said Yudhoyono will evaluate energy charges in the next few weeks.

The president has avoided raising fuel prices since protests derailed an increase early last year, highlighting the political minefields in a country where riots spurred by soaring living costs helped oust the dictator Suharto in 1998. Subsidies that keep charges below international market rates have bolstered demand for energy imports in the world’s fourth most- populous nation, contributing to a widening current-account gap and a 5.9 percent drop in the rupiah last year.

“This is a dilemma for the president,” said Fauzi Ichsan, a Jakarta-based senior economist at Standard Chartered and a former Finance Ministry analyst. “If the president raises fuel prices, it won’t be good politically, yet without an increase, the current-account deficit will remain high and the rupiah will continue to decline, adding imported inflation.”

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Indian banks can be trusted: Survey

images (3)“What have you done to me lately?”

For banks around the world, the answer to that question seems to be the determining factor in whether banks are largely trusted. In countries whose financial systems did not blow up during the worldwide recession, trust has remained high. But in some European countries where the banks were generally viewed as having caused the crisis, trust plunged and has not recovered.

Online surveys of “informed publics” in 26 countries were conducted by people hired by Edelman, a public relations firm. Respondents were asked how much they trusted banks “to do the right thing,” on a scale of one – “do not trust them at all” – to nine – “trust them a great deal.” In the 2013 survey, conducted in October and November and released this week at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, more than two-thirds of the respondents in seven areas – all but one of them in Asia – thought the banks were worthy of trust. They were Indonesia, India, Malaysia, China, Hong Kong, Singapore and Mexico.

At the other end of the spectrum, fewer than a third of the respondents in six countries – all in Europe – thought bankers could be trusted. They were Ireland, Spain, Germany, Britain, the Netherlands and Italy.

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