Investors Welcome Malaysia Reform Budget

Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak (Bloomberg News)

According to The Wall Street Journal, upcoming national elections seem likely to hinder sorely needed economic reforms in places like India and Indonesia. Not so in Malaysia, where Prime Minister Najib Razak’s resounding victory in general elections last May gives him the leeway to push a reform agenda.

Mr. Najib’s 2014 budget presentation last Friday centered on reforms he believes will help balance the nations’ books by 2020. Key among them is a 6% tax on goods and services that Mr. Najib has talked of for years but never had the political clearance to push through – until now.

He also scrapped a sugar subsidy for consumers and announced the government will move to a system of targeted subsidies where only the poorer members of society would benefit from cheaper food items, cooking oil and fuel.

The government says targeted payouts will lower the total subsidy bill – which makes up about 18% of government spending – by some 15.6% next year. Mr. Najib said next year’s subsidy bill will fall to 39.41 billion ringgit ($12.6 billion) from this year’s 46.70 billion ringgit ($14.9 billion).

Mr. Najib forecast a budget deficit of 3.5% next year, down from a projected 4.0% this year.

Opposition parties warned they would protest the new goods-and-services tax – which in any case will exempt basic food items and essential services — but analysts and ratings agencies generally welcomed the budget. So too did investors, who sent the ringgit to a four-month high of 3.1425 against the U.S. dollar Monday, while the yield on the benchmark 10-year government bond hit a three-month low of 3.59. Stocks were little changed.

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Is it Really a Communication Problem for Japan’s Mizuho Bank Loans to Crime-Syndicate Members?

Mizuho Bank (The Wall Street Journal)

According to The Wall Street Journal, the 102-page report by an investigative panel of lawyers into why Mizuho Bank didn’t pull the plug on $2 million in loans to crime-syndicate members providessome answers about what went wrong. Among them: The panel said executives who initially started handling the problem didn’t fully brief their successors, following a management overhaul caused by a separate, unrelated computer-system breakdown in 2011.

To go back a step: The panel got its information by interviewing 85 officials from Mizuho and Orient Corp.8585.TO 0.00%, the consumer-loan affiliate that actually extended the loans with financing from Mizuho. It also screened email exchanges between employees. The details of the panel’s findings were confirmed by Mizuho, in a separate press conference on Monday.

The panel found that the questionable loans were initially discovered in 2010, when Mizuho Bank was led by an executive named Satoru Nishibori.

But amid the turmoil sparked by the March 2011 system failure, Mr. Nishibori resigned his post and didn’t give a full briefing on the issue to his successor, Takashi Tsukamoto, the panel found. In fact, most of the compliance-department officials who were involved in dealing with the loans left the department at that time, the panel found.

Meanwhile, the computer problems turned the attention of top executives toward solving systems issues, and the question of how to handle the loans to crime-syndicate members got less attention, the panel said. In materials handed out at several subsequent compliance and board meetings, for instance, reference to the loans was pared down to only a few sentences; all mention of the loans in such materials disappeared after January 2012, the panel found.

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Why China PBOC Unveils Prime Interest Rate for Commercial Bank Loans?

China PBOC (China Image)

China PBOC (China Image)

According to The Wall Street Journal, BEIJING–China’s central bank Friday said it has introduced a new prime lending rate, which it said would help push forward interest rate liberalization.

The new bank lending rate, officially known as the “loan prime rate,” would be the rate on loans extended to the best customers of Chinese commercial banks.

The rate is based on a weighted average of lending rates from nine commercial banks, the People’s Bank of China said in a statement on its website.

It said the rate would be calculated each working day and would be announced on the website of the key barometer of interbank lending, the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate, or Shibor.

The central bank said that initially, it would calculate only a one-year rate. It gave Friday’s level as 5.71%.

In the past, the central bank has set guidelines for domestic interest rates, but it has been trying to give a greater role to the market. The PBOC’s existing benchmark interest rate for one-year loans is 6%.

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Is it Revival time for the Asian Junk-Bond Markets?

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

According to The Wall Street Journal, risky bonds are making a comeback in Asia after falling out of favor over the summer, as recent developments in the U.S. have prompted investors to embrace increased risk in exchange for higher yields.

Buoyed by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s $85 billion-a-month bond-buying program, investors in Asia took advantage of high-yield, or “junk,” bond issues early this year to increase returns against an otherwise low-interest backdrop. In the first five months alone, new junk bonds issued in Asia outside of Japan totaled $22.4 billion, exceeding the $15.3 billion total for all of last year. But indications from the Fed in late May that it could dial back its stimulus spending earlier than expected damped enthusiasm for the risky securities.

The Fed didn’t announce a pullback in spending after policy meeting last month, however, leading investors to expect at least a brief reprieve.

“The market has returned to a more risk-on mode since early September,” said Job Campbell, Hong Kong-based senior portfolio manager at Income Partners Asset Management, a $1.4 billion fixed-income manager. The fund has recently bought high-yield bonds issued by Chinese property firms including Yuzhou Properties Co. and Greentown China Holdings Ltd. 3900.HK -1.15% , he said.

Investors who were cautiously dipping their toes back into higher-yield bonds after the mid-September decision may have gotten more bullish since the U.S. budget and debt-ceiling standoff this month, the resolution of which has provided more certainty that the Fed will continue its stimulus effort at least until early next year, when the next showdown could occur.

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Does it Really make sense for Chinese Fosun to Snatch JPMorgan’s Chase Manhattan Plaza in NYC ?

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

 

According to Bloomberg, JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) has agreed to sell 1 Chase Manhattan Plaza, the tower built byDavid Rockefeller, to Fosun International Ltd., the investment arm of China’s biggest closely held industrial group, for $725 million.

Fosun, which invests in properties, pharmaceuticals and steel, is buying the 60-story, 2.2 million square-foot, lower Manhattan tower, according to a statement it filed to Hong Kong’s stock exchange.

China’s developers and companies are expanding in overseas property markets as the government maintains curbs on housing at home to cool prices. Greenland Holding Group Co., a Shanghai-based, state-owned developer, this month agreed to buy a 70 percent stake in a residential and commercial real estate project in Brooklyn.

“There’s a lot of excess capital in China that needs a way out at the moment,” Simon Lo, Hong Kong-based executive director for Asia research and advisory at property broker Colliers International, said in a phone interview today. “Also, by investing in markets like New York, they believe they can gain from the recovery of the U.S. economy and real estate market.”

Fosun (656), owned by Chinese billionaire Guo Guangchang, fell 0.3 percent to HK$6.79 at the midday trading break in Hong Kong. Shares in the Shanghai-based company have gained 37 percent this year, compared with the 2.6 percent increase in the benchmark Hang Seng Index.

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Before Everbright, there was Knight Capital: A Knightmare on Wall Street Book Review

Knightmare on Wall Street

Edgar Perez’s Knightmare on Wall Street

The $3.8 billion of erroneous purchase orders that flew into Chinese equity markets on August 16, 2013, and later trades to try to offset the error, led to Everbright Securities, the country’s seventh-largest brokerage by market value, being barred from most proprietary trading, lifetime professional bans for four senior managers and the resignation of the president. The China Securities Regulatory Commission also imposed $85 million in fines and confiscation of any illegal gains.

Strict enforcement should be the norm of the nation’s capital market and the penalties on Everbright have set the benchmark, China Securities Journal said in an editorial. Meanwhile, Knight Capital’s own $7 billion erroneous position accumulated in the first 28 minutes of trading of August 1, 2013, still goes unpunished by the SEC.

Referring to CEO Thomas Joyce, Edgar Perez writes in Knightmare on Wall Street: “He will be forever remembered by the trading error that his strategic timing and management style allowed to happen.”  A follow-up to The Speed Traders, in which Perez examined high-frequency trading and interviewed a handful of practitioners, Knightmare on Wall Street addresses the story of Knight Capital, the firm that lost $461 million and shook U.S. equity markets in the summer of 2012, about a year before Everbright’s trading error.

Perez’s chapters about the incident and the events in the days after are written as a chronological-cum-investigative-report, with Perez starting off on August 1 at 9:30AM, reviewing the dramatic efforts to save the firm and then finishing on August 6 when the firm announced the consortium that rescued it.

Having risen to prominence as a globetrotting proponent of the regulated deployment of technology in trading, Perez finds plenty of targets for Knightmare on Wall Street, his review of Knight’s history, starting with Joyce, who was absent the morning of the incident. “On July 31, 2013, one of many quiet summer days in Wall Street, Joyce underwent knee surgery; he was getting ready to spend the days after resting at home. What could go wrong with deploying a piece of software to participate in NYSE‘s RLP? An event like that was not even in his radar, as it was business as usual.” RLP was the Retail Liquidity Program started by the New York Stock Exchange.

His narrative is at times caustically outrageous. “Why Knight took 28 minutes to stop the order flow was not clear until much later. Knight could have shut down its market flow to the exchange entirely but that could have jeopardized other orders, opening Knight up to additional liability. Neither Sadoff nor Sohos wanted to take that responsibility.” Steven Sadoff and George Sohos were two of the top executives who struggled to respond to the emergency. Couldn’t have they just unplugged the systems?

Perez shows in Knightmare on Wall Street a talent for distilling multiple threads of events and stitching them together into a seemingly singular narrative. From the internal discussions on how to stop the bleeding to the chaos on the New York Stock Exchange’s trading floor to the on-air reactions of CNBC’s anchors, Perez presents the story from different angles and captures the reader’s attention despite using one or two financial terms hard to be immediately understood by the layperson.

In the final chapter of Knightmare on Wall Street, Perez reviews the immediate consequences of Knight’s acquisition by GETCO, a fierce competitor that participated in its rescue. There is no place for two CEOs, so Joyce leaves, not without pocketing a $7.5 million payout. How could he take that much money when his shareholders lost almost half a billion dollars? There must be something American regulators need to learn from China; drastic and expeditious action is one of them. It is a disturbing end to a thought-provoking and action-filled read.

REUTERS: China’s Everbright Securities says trading system had problem, shares suspended

China's Everbright Securities says trading system had problem, shares suspended

Everbright Securities Co. [CFP]

Major brokerage Everbright Securities Co Ltd said in a filing to the Shanghai Stock Exchange that its trading system encountered problems Friday morning, following a dramatic 5 percent spike in domestic stock indexes that many suspected was the byproduct of a trading error.

Trading in the Chinese company’s shares was suspended in the afternoon, according to a statement on the website of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.

“This morning, Everbright Securities strategic investment department’s proprietary trading bureau had a problem when using its own arbitrage system,” the statement said, adding that the company is investigating the issue.

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Dublin energy company secures £87m from Japan

Dublin energy company secures £87m from Japan

A JAPANESE trading company will today unveil a €100 million (£87m) equity investment in an energy company behind plans for a 450 megawatt (MW) wind farm off the Fife coast.

Marubeni Corporation will take a 25 per cent stake in MainstreamRenewable Power, which the Dublin-based firm said would enable further big projects to be financed.

The deal gives Marubeni a seat on Mainstream’s board alongside banking giant Barclays, which invested in the company in 2008.

The Marubeni deal signifies a “long-term strategic alliance” for both companies, which will see them working to accelerate Mainstream’s key projects globally. Marubeni already has interests in the renewables sector, including the offshore wind industry in Europe and the electricity supply business in the UK.

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With few big deals, private equity moves to be Asia’s new banker

With few big deals, private equity moves to be Asia’s new banker

Aug 5 (Reuters) – In three years, global private equity firm KKR & Co has provided over $1.5 billion in loans to companies in India, a business traditionally handled by state-owned and private sector banks.

Encouraged by that success, KKR – which rose to prominence with its hostile $25 billion takeover of U.S. food and tobacco giant RJR Nabisco in 1989 – plans to expand the niche business in China and across Asia.

The move by private equity into lending comes at a time when buyout deals in Asia are few and far between and as traditional banks retreat. Apollo Global Management, KKR and Olympus Capital are raising credit funds as they seek out alternative sources of income. At least $6.6 billion is being raised by 12 funds for investment in Asia, according to Private Equity International and Thomson Reuters data.

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Hong Kong banks’ marketing of FX-linked structured products sparks concern

Hong Kong banks’ marketing of FX-linked structured products sparks concern

If you walk into a bank you may spot signs in the teller queue displaying attractive deposit rates in a foreign currency.

If you ask about them, you’ll be whisked off to a special room to talk to an investment adviser, who will introduce you to an investment that is commonly sold in Hong Kong: the currency-linked deposit.

Make no mistake, these instruments are big business. A 2012 study by the Securities and Futures Commission found that currency-linked instruments comprised 65 per cent of all structured products sold to the public. That translates into annual sales of about HK$380 billion – and that excludes sales by banks.

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