Investors Welcome Malaysia Reform Budget

Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak (Bloomberg News)

According to The Wall Street Journal, upcoming national elections seem likely to hinder sorely needed economic reforms in places like India and Indonesia. Not so in Malaysia, where Prime Minister Najib Razak’s resounding victory in general elections last May gives him the leeway to push a reform agenda.

Mr. Najib’s 2014 budget presentation last Friday centered on reforms he believes will help balance the nations’ books by 2020. Key among them is a 6% tax on goods and services that Mr. Najib has talked of for years but never had the political clearance to push through – until now.

He also scrapped a sugar subsidy for consumers and announced the government will move to a system of targeted subsidies where only the poorer members of society would benefit from cheaper food items, cooking oil and fuel.

The government says targeted payouts will lower the total subsidy bill – which makes up about 18% of government spending – by some 15.6% next year. Mr. Najib said next year’s subsidy bill will fall to 39.41 billion ringgit ($12.6 billion) from this year’s 46.70 billion ringgit ($14.9 billion).

Mr. Najib forecast a budget deficit of 3.5% next year, down from a projected 4.0% this year.

Opposition parties warned they would protest the new goods-and-services tax – which in any case will exempt basic food items and essential services — but analysts and ratings agencies generally welcomed the budget. So too did investors, who sent the ringgit to a four-month high of 3.1425 against the U.S. dollar Monday, while the yield on the benchmark 10-year government bond hit a three-month low of 3.59. Stocks were little changed.

Read more

Why China PBOC Unveils Prime Interest Rate for Commercial Bank Loans?

China PBOC (China Image)

China PBOC (China Image)

According to The Wall Street Journal, BEIJING–China’s central bank Friday said it has introduced a new prime lending rate, which it said would help push forward interest rate liberalization.

The new bank lending rate, officially known as the “loan prime rate,” would be the rate on loans extended to the best customers of Chinese commercial banks.

The rate is based on a weighted average of lending rates from nine commercial banks, the People’s Bank of China said in a statement on its website.

It said the rate would be calculated each working day and would be announced on the website of the key barometer of interbank lending, the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate, or Shibor.

The central bank said that initially, it would calculate only a one-year rate. It gave Friday’s level as 5.71%.

In the past, the central bank has set guidelines for domestic interest rates, but it has been trying to give a greater role to the market. The PBOC’s existing benchmark interest rate for one-year loans is 6%.

Read more

Do Asian Stocks Climb as Won to Aussie Jump?

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

According to Bloomberg, Asian stocks climbed a fifth day, with the benchmark gauge trading near a five-year high, while emerging-market currencies strengthened on speculation the Federal Reserve will hold off cutting monetary stimulus until next year. Australia’s dollar jumped after inflation data.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.3 percent by 10 a.m. in Tokyo after earlier touching the highest level since June 2008. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPA) futures dropped 0.1 percent after the gauge rose in New York. South Korea’s won climbed to the strongest level since January and Malaysia’s ringgit snapped a three-day decline. The Australian dollar strengthened to hold at a 4 1/2-month high. Copper retreated 0.4 percent after gaining yesterday while silver rose a seventh day.

Barclays Plc pushed out their estimate for the start of Fed tapering to March from December after data delayed because of the U.S. government shutdown showed employers added 148,000 workers in September, below the 180,000 increase projected in a Bloomberg survey. The 16-day shutdown cut U.S. growth and cost jobs, according to an economic aide to President Barack Obama. China’s Treasury holdings fell to a six-month low in August and Australian inflation quickened more than expected last quarter.

“The key takeaway for the Fed from the September U.S. non-farm payrolls is that the U.S. economy is in no shape to withstand a reduction in monetary stimulus,” Matthew Sherwood, head of investment markets research in Sydney at Perpetual Investments, which manages about $25 billion, said in an e-mail. “Expectations of tapering delays will continue to support markets.”

Read more

Is it Revival time for the Asian Junk-Bond Markets?

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

According to The Wall Street Journal, risky bonds are making a comeback in Asia after falling out of favor over the summer, as recent developments in the U.S. have prompted investors to embrace increased risk in exchange for higher yields.

Buoyed by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s $85 billion-a-month bond-buying program, investors in Asia took advantage of high-yield, or “junk,” bond issues early this year to increase returns against an otherwise low-interest backdrop. In the first five months alone, new junk bonds issued in Asia outside of Japan totaled $22.4 billion, exceeding the $15.3 billion total for all of last year. But indications from the Fed in late May that it could dial back its stimulus spending earlier than expected damped enthusiasm for the risky securities.

The Fed didn’t announce a pullback in spending after policy meeting last month, however, leading investors to expect at least a brief reprieve.

“The market has returned to a more risk-on mode since early September,” said Job Campbell, Hong Kong-based senior portfolio manager at Income Partners Asset Management, a $1.4 billion fixed-income manager. The fund has recently bought high-yield bonds issued by Chinese property firms including Yuzhou Properties Co. and Greentown China Holdings Ltd. 3900.HK -1.15% , he said.

Investors who were cautiously dipping their toes back into higher-yield bonds after the mid-September decision may have gotten more bullish since the U.S. budget and debt-ceiling standoff this month, the resolution of which has provided more certainty that the Fed will continue its stimulus effort at least until early next year, when the next showdown could occur.

Read more

Does it Really make sense for Chinese Fosun to Snatch JPMorgan’s Chase Manhattan Plaza in NYC ?

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

 

According to Bloomberg, JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) has agreed to sell 1 Chase Manhattan Plaza, the tower built byDavid Rockefeller, to Fosun International Ltd., the investment arm of China’s biggest closely held industrial group, for $725 million.

Fosun, which invests in properties, pharmaceuticals and steel, is buying the 60-story, 2.2 million square-foot, lower Manhattan tower, according to a statement it filed to Hong Kong’s stock exchange.

China’s developers and companies are expanding in overseas property markets as the government maintains curbs on housing at home to cool prices. Greenland Holding Group Co., a Shanghai-based, state-owned developer, this month agreed to buy a 70 percent stake in a residential and commercial real estate project in Brooklyn.

“There’s a lot of excess capital in China that needs a way out at the moment,” Simon Lo, Hong Kong-based executive director for Asia research and advisory at property broker Colliers International, said in a phone interview today. “Also, by investing in markets like New York, they believe they can gain from the recovery of the U.S. economy and real estate market.”

Fosun (656), owned by Chinese billionaire Guo Guangchang, fell 0.3 percent to HK$6.79 at the midday trading break in Hong Kong. Shares in the Shanghai-based company have gained 37 percent this year, compared with the 2.6 percent increase in the benchmark Hang Seng Index.

Read more

Before Everbright, there was Knight Capital: A Knightmare on Wall Street Book Review

Knightmare on Wall Street

Edgar Perez’s Knightmare on Wall Street

The $3.8 billion of erroneous purchase orders that flew into Chinese equity markets on August 16, 2013, and later trades to try to offset the error, led to Everbright Securities, the country’s seventh-largest brokerage by market value, being barred from most proprietary trading, lifetime professional bans for four senior managers and the resignation of the president. The China Securities Regulatory Commission also imposed $85 million in fines and confiscation of any illegal gains.

Strict enforcement should be the norm of the nation’s capital market and the penalties on Everbright have set the benchmark, China Securities Journal said in an editorial. Meanwhile, Knight Capital’s own $7 billion erroneous position accumulated in the first 28 minutes of trading of August 1, 2013, still goes unpunished by the SEC.

Referring to CEO Thomas Joyce, Edgar Perez writes in Knightmare on Wall Street: “He will be forever remembered by the trading error that his strategic timing and management style allowed to happen.”  A follow-up to The Speed Traders, in which Perez examined high-frequency trading and interviewed a handful of practitioners, Knightmare on Wall Street addresses the story of Knight Capital, the firm that lost $461 million and shook U.S. equity markets in the summer of 2012, about a year before Everbright’s trading error.

Perez’s chapters about the incident and the events in the days after are written as a chronological-cum-investigative-report, with Perez starting off on August 1 at 9:30AM, reviewing the dramatic efforts to save the firm and then finishing on August 6 when the firm announced the consortium that rescued it.

Having risen to prominence as a globetrotting proponent of the regulated deployment of technology in trading, Perez finds plenty of targets for Knightmare on Wall Street, his review of Knight’s history, starting with Joyce, who was absent the morning of the incident. “On July 31, 2013, one of many quiet summer days in Wall Street, Joyce underwent knee surgery; he was getting ready to spend the days after resting at home. What could go wrong with deploying a piece of software to participate in NYSE‘s RLP? An event like that was not even in his radar, as it was business as usual.” RLP was the Retail Liquidity Program started by the New York Stock Exchange.

His narrative is at times caustically outrageous. “Why Knight took 28 minutes to stop the order flow was not clear until much later. Knight could have shut down its market flow to the exchange entirely but that could have jeopardized other orders, opening Knight up to additional liability. Neither Sadoff nor Sohos wanted to take that responsibility.” Steven Sadoff and George Sohos were two of the top executives who struggled to respond to the emergency. Couldn’t have they just unplugged the systems?

Perez shows in Knightmare on Wall Street a talent for distilling multiple threads of events and stitching them together into a seemingly singular narrative. From the internal discussions on how to stop the bleeding to the chaos on the New York Stock Exchange’s trading floor to the on-air reactions of CNBC’s anchors, Perez presents the story from different angles and captures the reader’s attention despite using one or two financial terms hard to be immediately understood by the layperson.

In the final chapter of Knightmare on Wall Street, Perez reviews the immediate consequences of Knight’s acquisition by GETCO, a fierce competitor that participated in its rescue. There is no place for two CEOs, so Joyce leaves, not without pocketing a $7.5 million payout. How could he take that much money when his shareholders lost almost half a billion dollars? There must be something American regulators need to learn from China; drastic and expeditious action is one of them. It is a disturbing end to a thought-provoking and action-filled read.

BLOOMBERG: Everbright Securities Plunges on Record Penalty: Shanghai Mover

 Everbright Securities Plunges on Record Penalty: Shanghai Mover

Everbright Securities Co. branch in Beijing. Photographer: Nelson Ching/Bloomberg

Bloomberg reports that Everbright Securities plunged to the lowest since its shares started trading in 2009 after China’s securities regulator imposed a record penalty on the broker for insider trading and two more executives resigned.

The country’s seventh-largest brokerage by market value declined by the 10 percent daily limit to 9.06 yuan at today’s opening in Shanghai, after trade was suspended on August 30, and stayed at that level through the 11:30 a.m. break. The Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP) fell 0.1 percent. The stock has slid 36 percent this year.

Read more

The New York Times: JPMorgan Hiring Put China’s Elite on an Easy Track

JPMorgan Hiring Put China’s Elite on an Easy Track

Tang Shuangning of the China Everbright Group. An Tu/European Pressphoto Agency

The New York Times reports that existence of a program originally called “Sons and Daughters.” And although it was supposed to protect JPMorgan Chase’s business dealings in China, the program went so off track that it is now the focus of a federal bribery investigation in the United States, interviews and a confidential government document show.

JPMorgan started the program in 2006 as the friends and family of China’s ruling elite were clamoring for jobs at the bank, according to the interviews with former bank employees and financial executives in China and the United States. The program’s existence, which has not been previously reported, suggests that the bank’s hiring of such employees was widespread.

Children with elite pedigrees faced lower standards. In one instance, according to the interviews, the bank continued to employ the son of Tang Shuangning, the chairman of China Everbright Group, a state-controlled financial conglomerate, even though some JPMorgan officials questioned the younger Mr. Tang’s financial expertise.

Read more

REUTERS: China’s Everbright Securities says trading system had problem, shares suspended

China's Everbright Securities says trading system had problem, shares suspended

Everbright Securities Co. [CFP]

Major brokerage Everbright Securities Co Ltd said in a filing to the Shanghai Stock Exchange that its trading system encountered problems Friday morning, following a dramatic 5 percent spike in domestic stock indexes that many suspected was the byproduct of a trading error.

Trading in the Chinese company’s shares was suspended in the afternoon, according to a statement on the website of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.

“This morning, Everbright Securities strategic investment department’s proprietary trading bureau had a problem when using its own arbitrage system,” the statement said, adding that the company is investigating the issue.

Read more

IMF calls for Japan reforms, plan to clear debt

IMF calls for Japan reforms, plan to clear debt

TOKYO (AP) — The International Monetary Fund said Japan’s economy is recovering from years of stagnation, but that far-reaching reforms and a “credible plan” are needed to reduce its debt mountain and sustain growth in the long run.

The assessment, in a report released Monday, said the near-term outlook of the world’s third-largest economy “has improved considerably” thanks to monetary easing and increased government spending under Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s administration.

It forecasts that Japan’s economy will grow 2 percent in 2013, helped by stronger demand at home and overseas, but will expand only 1.2 percent in 2014 as consumers tighten their belts following an expected increase in sales tax.

The IMF’s report, based on a consultation with the Abe government last month, echoes earlier comments by the World Bank’s lending arm on the “Abenomics” strategy of breaking out of a long spell of debilitating deflation by flooding the economy with money. At Abe’s behest, Japan’s central bank is striving to generate 2 percent inflation within the next two years.

Read more