Nissan: Full-Year Profit Forecast Cuts and Management Overhauls

According to Bloomberg, Nissan Motor Co. (7201), Japan’s second-biggest carmaker, lowered its full-year profit forecast by 15 percent after demand in emerging markets slowed and recall costs mounted.

The company expects to post net income of 355 billion yen ($3.6 billion) in the year ending March 31, it said today. That’s below the Yokohama, Japan-based carmaker’s previous forecast of 420 billion yen and the 440.3 billion yen average of 18 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Profit is still projected to rise from the previous year as the weaker yen helps bolster earnings.

Chief Executive Officer Carlos Ghosn also announced an overhaul of Nissan’s management as he pursues an operating profit margin target of 8 percent by the year ending March 2017. The changes and earnings shortfall come amid slowing sales in some emerging markets and a recall of 910,000 vehicles that Goldman Sachs Group Inc. estimates will cost the company about 15 billion yen.

“The outlook in Thailand will remain quite weak this year mainly due to the lack of pent-up demand,” said Ashvin Chotai, managing director of Intelligence Automotive Asia in London. “It’s also certainly hard to be optimistic about Indonesia — it’s a market which is always going to be volatile.”

Nissan also lowered its forecasts for operating profit and revenue.

Under the management changes, Chief Operating Officer Toshiyuki Shiga will become vice chairman and remain on the board, though the COO position will be abolished.

Nissan CEO Carlos Ghosn (Bloomberg)

New Lieutenants

Three new positions will be created — reporting directly to Ghosn — to fill Shiga’s void, according to the company.

Among Ghosn’s new lieutenants will be Executive Vice President Hiroto Saikawa, who will be chief competitive officer overseeing the supply chain, research and development, as well purchasing and manufacturing, Nissan said. Executive Vice Presidents Andy Palmer and Trevor Mann will also take on positions as chief planning officer and chief performance officer, respectively, the company said.

Colin Dodge, currently executive vice president, will take on a new role managing special projects and report directly to Ghosn. Kimiyasu Nakamura, president of Chinese joint venture Dongfeng Motor Co., will assume companywide responsibility for customer satisfaction, reporting to Saikawa.

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Investors Welcome Malaysia Reform Budget

Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak (Bloomberg News)

According to The Wall Street Journal, upcoming national elections seem likely to hinder sorely needed economic reforms in places like India and Indonesia. Not so in Malaysia, where Prime Minister Najib Razak’s resounding victory in general elections last May gives him the leeway to push a reform agenda.

Mr. Najib’s 2014 budget presentation last Friday centered on reforms he believes will help balance the nations’ books by 2020. Key among them is a 6% tax on goods and services that Mr. Najib has talked of for years but never had the political clearance to push through – until now.

He also scrapped a sugar subsidy for consumers and announced the government will move to a system of targeted subsidies where only the poorer members of society would benefit from cheaper food items, cooking oil and fuel.

The government says targeted payouts will lower the total subsidy bill – which makes up about 18% of government spending – by some 15.6% next year. Mr. Najib said next year’s subsidy bill will fall to 39.41 billion ringgit ($12.6 billion) from this year’s 46.70 billion ringgit ($14.9 billion).

Mr. Najib forecast a budget deficit of 3.5% next year, down from a projected 4.0% this year.

Opposition parties warned they would protest the new goods-and-services tax – which in any case will exempt basic food items and essential services — but analysts and ratings agencies generally welcomed the budget. So too did investors, who sent the ringgit to a four-month high of 3.1425 against the U.S. dollar Monday, while the yield on the benchmark 10-year government bond hit a three-month low of 3.59. Stocks were little changed.

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Is it Right: More Money Means More Health Problems in Asia?

Flavored juice drinks sit on a shelf in a grocery store in Manila. (Bloomberg)

According to The Wall Street Journal, MANILA — Economies in Southeast Asia are not the only things growing in the region. Waistlines are too – and that has doctors and health experts worried about the strains a clutch of new health problems could put on many countries still in the process of developing.

Rapid economic growth has created new and expanding middles classes in places like Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam. But new affluence is also driving up the rate of “life-style” diseases, including hypertension, cancer, diabetes and chronic respiratory illness, say doctors.

Together, those diseases account for 80% of the deaths in Asia, but health experts say it need not be that way – most could be addressed by people simply changing the way they eat and live.

“We must have behavior change,” Shin Young-soo, the World Health Organization’s regional director for the Western Pacific, said during a recent health summit in Manila.

As regional incomes improve, people have more money to spend on fast food and processed snacks. In recent years, demand for meat and dairy has also risen dramatically in many of Southeast Asia’s emerging economies.

But changes in diets combined with lack of exercise has made Asians more prone to diabetes than their counterparts in the West, said Dr. Shin, one of nearly 200 health and development experts attending a week-long gathering here aimed at discussing non-communicable diseases and finding way to combat them.

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Indonesia Home Prices Rise as Demand Bucks Higher Rates

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

According to Bloomberg, Indonesia’s most aggressive monetary tightening since 2005 is set to slow economic growth without denting soaring property demand in the world’s fourth-most populous nation.

A young population, elevated inflation and property-price gains that outpace interest rates are spurring real-estate sales from Jakarta to Manado. Home prices in the third quarter probably rose 14.6 percent from a year earlier, according to a Bank Indonesia survey, while the Indonesian Real Estate Association predicts housing sales will climb more than 50 percent this year.

“Indonesia has a huge population, that’s a potential market for us,” said Setyo Maharso, chairman of the Indonesian real estate association, which predicts 2013 property sales will rise to 400,000 units from 260,000 last year. “For our buyers, as long as they have the ability to pay monthly installments, sales will keep increasing till the year end.”

With foreigners restricted from owning property in SoutheastAsia’s biggest economy, Indonesia is confronting a surge in local demand rather than the capital inflows that spurred record home prices in neighboring Singapore and Hong Kong. After the central bank imposed stricter loan-to-value ratios for mortgages, persistent price gains may prompt the government to raise some real-estate taxes, PT Bank Danamon Indonesia said.

“By giving a luxury tax, especially for high-end properties, it would help to curb home-price increases,” said Anton Gunawan, chief economist at Bank Danamon who was a candidate for the No. 2 job at the central bank this year. “Returns from property remain high as there’s an expectation that home prices are still rising.”

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Asia Private Equity Weekly News, July 29, 2013

Asia Private Equity Weekly News, July 29, 2013

MALAYSIA’S STATE pension fund will invest half a billion euros ($660 million) in industrial property in Germany and office space in France, according to sources familiar with the deals, signalling growing appetite for high-yielding property assets as Europe’s main economies show signs of recovery.

MEIJI YASUDA Life Insurance Co said it has agreed to buy a 15 percent stake in Thai Life Insurance Co as Japanese insurers step up their presence in Southeast Asia.

CHINA’S $500 billion sovereign wealth fund, China Investment Corp, returned to profit growth in 2012, citing growing traction in the global recovery at the end of the year and a steady improvement in risk asset prices.

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UBS Leading Southeast Asia Stock Sales on Billionaires

 

UBS Leading Southeast Asia Stock Sales on Billionaires

UBS AG (UBSN) jumped to the lead among share-sale underwriters in Southeast Asia for the first time in six years, capitalizing on its relationships with wealthy families and a surge in equity offerings in countries including the Philippines.

The Swiss bank worked on deals equal to 37 percent of the total value of equity sales in the region in the first half, compared with 26 percent for second-placed CIMB Group Holdings Bhd., data compiled by Bloomberg show. UBS won roles on the biggest-ever share sales in the Philippines, Thailand and Indonesia, including PT Matahari Department Store (LPPF)’s $1.4 billion offering in March.

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Japan’s Mitsubishi Financial set to buy major Thai bank

Japan’s Mitsubishi Financial set to buy major Thai bank

In what should be the first time a Japanese group takes direct control of a major bank in Asia, reports say thatMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group will be buying a 51 percent stake in Thailand’s fifth-largest commercial bank, the Bank of Ayudhya. The deal is reportedly for around 400 billion yen (approx. 4.06 billion US dollars) and will see MUFJ expand its business in Southeast Asia through offering financial services to consumers and businesses.

MUFG has been lending to Japanese companies inThailand and helping with their trade settlements. But this time around, they will be upping the ante as they expand towards catering to the bank’s strong ties with small and medium enterprises (SME). The deal, expected to be formalized next month, will see MUFG buy out the 25 percent stake of GE Capital then launch a tender for the remaining shares, but at the same time keeping the Ratanarak family which holds 22 percent, as a partner. The bank has around 3.4 trillion yen (34.8 billion dollars) in assets.

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Malaysia’s Economy at Risk with Growing Consumer Debt

Malaysia’s consumer debt is at 76.6 per cent of its GDP and some economists believe that the growing consumer credit could rock the country’s economy.

Malaysia’s consumer debt is at 76.6 per cent of its GDP and some economists believe that the growing consumer credit could rock the country’s economy.

Malaysia’s consumer debt is at 76.6 per cent of its GDP and some economists believe that the growing consumer credit — where each ringgit of growth nearly matches an extra ringgit of consumer debt — could rock the country’s economy, the Financial Times (FT) reported today.

The country’s household debt ratio is the highest in the region, the influential daily reported, citing Johanna Chua, an economist at Citigroup, who believed this makes the Southeast Asia’s third largest economy vulnerable, especially as lower-income households bear a greater share of the overall debt.

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Indonesia Plans Scorecards to Boost Corporate Governance

Indonesia’s Financial Services Authority plans to publish scorecards rating companies on the quality of their corporate governance as it begins supervising capital markets in Southeast Asia’s biggest economy.

The agency plans to rate the nation’s 50 biggest listed companies this year, said Muliaman Hadad, chairman of the newly minted regulator known by its Indonesian acronym of OJK. How companies treat minority shareholders and the roles played by board directors are among the criteria, he said in an interview in Jakarta on Jan. 15. OJK will consolidate supervision of capital markets, banks and non-bank financial institutions.

Hadad, a former central bank deputy governor, wants companies to improve practices to lure investors and broaden the pool of capital to fund growth. Indonesia’s economic recovery since the Asian financial crisis in 1997-1998, when the nation had to seek an International Monetary Fund bailout, has prompted Fitch Ratings and Moody’s Investors Service to raise their sovereign debt scores to investment grade.

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Indonesia’s economic growth likely to remain strong in 2013

Indonesia-economy-jakarta-skyline

According to the Global Times, Indonesia’s economic outlook remains positive next year, thanks to a steady domestic consumption, a robust investment climate and the accelerated infrastructure development, media reported here on Wednesday.

Barclays Research predicts that Indonesia’s economy, the biggest in Southeast Asia, will expand 6.3 percent in 2013, the same pace as this year’s projected growth. Last year it grew 6.5 percent, the fastest pace since 1996.

Among the 10 emerging Asian nations covered by Barclays Research, the country will have the third-fastest economic growth after China and India next year.

Barclay’s prediction is below the Indonesia’s government forecast of 6.6 percent to 6.8 percent for 2013 after growing 6.5 percent this year.

It is also lower than the projection of the central bank, Bank Indonesia, of 6.6 percent to 6.7 percent for 2013.

Barclays Research, a part of the corporate and investment banking division of Barclays Bank, was less rosy on the global economic growth.

In its economic outlook report sent to clients on December 13, it trimmed its global gross domestic product growth projection for 2013 to 3.3 percent from 3.5 percent a quarter ago. It still maintained its 2012 growth estimate at 3.1 percent.

“Emerging economies have much better growth prospects than those for advanced economies,” Barclays Research was quoted by the Jakarta globe as saying.

“They are likely to continue contributing positively to global demand expansion, via incremental fiscal stimulus and monetary easing,” it said.

Perry Warjiyo, an executive director for the economy and monetary policy research at the Indonesian central bank, said that increased economic activity ahead of the elections in 2014 will boost economic growth next year.

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