Nissan: Full-Year Profit Forecast Cuts and Management Overhauls

According to Bloomberg, Nissan Motor Co. (7201), Japan’s second-biggest carmaker, lowered its full-year profit forecast by 15 percent after demand in emerging markets slowed and recall costs mounted.

The company expects to post net income of 355 billion yen ($3.6 billion) in the year ending March 31, it said today. That’s below the Yokohama, Japan-based carmaker’s previous forecast of 420 billion yen and the 440.3 billion yen average of 18 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Profit is still projected to rise from the previous year as the weaker yen helps bolster earnings.

Chief Executive Officer Carlos Ghosn also announced an overhaul of Nissan’s management as he pursues an operating profit margin target of 8 percent by the year ending March 2017. The changes and earnings shortfall come amid slowing sales in some emerging markets and a recall of 910,000 vehicles that Goldman Sachs Group Inc. estimates will cost the company about 15 billion yen.

“The outlook in Thailand will remain quite weak this year mainly due to the lack of pent-up demand,” said Ashvin Chotai, managing director of Intelligence Automotive Asia in London. “It’s also certainly hard to be optimistic about Indonesia — it’s a market which is always going to be volatile.”

Nissan also lowered its forecasts for operating profit and revenue.

Under the management changes, Chief Operating Officer Toshiyuki Shiga will become vice chairman and remain on the board, though the COO position will be abolished.

Nissan CEO Carlos Ghosn (Bloomberg)

New Lieutenants

Three new positions will be created — reporting directly to Ghosn — to fill Shiga’s void, according to the company.

Among Ghosn’s new lieutenants will be Executive Vice President Hiroto Saikawa, who will be chief competitive officer overseeing the supply chain, research and development, as well purchasing and manufacturing, Nissan said. Executive Vice Presidents Andy Palmer and Trevor Mann will also take on positions as chief planning officer and chief performance officer, respectively, the company said.

Colin Dodge, currently executive vice president, will take on a new role managing special projects and report directly to Ghosn. Kimiyasu Nakamura, president of Chinese joint venture Dongfeng Motor Co., will assume companywide responsibility for customer satisfaction, reporting to Saikawa.

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What’s the Entry Ticket to Chinese Market?

Fast-fashion Brand ZARA in China (Bloomberg)

According to The Wall Street Journal, a growing number of Western brands in China are creating online stores to reach more consumers, adopting a formula that Chinese e-commerce company Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. has exploited with much success.

The promise of e-commerce in China has attracted foreign companies for years. Yet Western companies, such as eBay Inc., EBAY +0.22% Google Inc. GOOG +0.20% andGroupon Inc., GRPN -4.49% have struggled in China, partly because of competition from domestic giants. Western retailers also have had concerns about the difficulties of distribution in the country and its Web shoppers’ insistence on low prices.

But China’s e-commerce—which, by some measures, overtook the U.S. this year as the world’s largest online retail marketplace—has become too big to ignore. Online retail sales in China are expected to reach about $540 billion by 2015, compared with roughly $345 billion in the U.S., according to consulting firm Bain & Co. China’s online retail sales have increased more than 70% annually since 2009, compared with 13% in the U.S.

“If you’re going to be in China, e-commerce is going to be the first thing you consider, and if you’re already there, you’re scrambling to adapt,” says Duncan Clark, chairman of BDA China, an investment advisory firm in Beijing.

Inditex SA ITX.MC +0.51% ‘s Zara fast-fashion brand, high-end handbag makerCoach Inc. COH -0.27% and luxury-department-store chain Neiman Marcus Group Inc. began selling online in China late last year.

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Before Everbright, there was Knight Capital: A Knightmare on Wall Street Book Review

Knightmare on Wall Street

Edgar Perez’s Knightmare on Wall Street

The $3.8 billion of erroneous purchase orders that flew into Chinese equity markets on August 16, 2013, and later trades to try to offset the error, led to Everbright Securities, the country’s seventh-largest brokerage by market value, being barred from most proprietary trading, lifetime professional bans for four senior managers and the resignation of the president. The China Securities Regulatory Commission also imposed $85 million in fines and confiscation of any illegal gains.

Strict enforcement should be the norm of the nation’s capital market and the penalties on Everbright have set the benchmark, China Securities Journal said in an editorial. Meanwhile, Knight Capital’s own $7 billion erroneous position accumulated in the first 28 minutes of trading of August 1, 2013, still goes unpunished by the SEC.

Referring to CEO Thomas Joyce, Edgar Perez writes in Knightmare on Wall Street: “He will be forever remembered by the trading error that his strategic timing and management style allowed to happen.”  A follow-up to The Speed Traders, in which Perez examined high-frequency trading and interviewed a handful of practitioners, Knightmare on Wall Street addresses the story of Knight Capital, the firm that lost $461 million and shook U.S. equity markets in the summer of 2012, about a year before Everbright’s trading error.

Perez’s chapters about the incident and the events in the days after are written as a chronological-cum-investigative-report, with Perez starting off on August 1 at 9:30AM, reviewing the dramatic efforts to save the firm and then finishing on August 6 when the firm announced the consortium that rescued it.

Having risen to prominence as a globetrotting proponent of the regulated deployment of technology in trading, Perez finds plenty of targets for Knightmare on Wall Street, his review of Knight’s history, starting with Joyce, who was absent the morning of the incident. “On July 31, 2013, one of many quiet summer days in Wall Street, Joyce underwent knee surgery; he was getting ready to spend the days after resting at home. What could go wrong with deploying a piece of software to participate in NYSE‘s RLP? An event like that was not even in his radar, as it was business as usual.” RLP was the Retail Liquidity Program started by the New York Stock Exchange.

His narrative is at times caustically outrageous. “Why Knight took 28 minutes to stop the order flow was not clear until much later. Knight could have shut down its market flow to the exchange entirely but that could have jeopardized other orders, opening Knight up to additional liability. Neither Sadoff nor Sohos wanted to take that responsibility.” Steven Sadoff and George Sohos were two of the top executives who struggled to respond to the emergency. Couldn’t have they just unplugged the systems?

Perez shows in Knightmare on Wall Street a talent for distilling multiple threads of events and stitching them together into a seemingly singular narrative. From the internal discussions on how to stop the bleeding to the chaos on the New York Stock Exchange’s trading floor to the on-air reactions of CNBC’s anchors, Perez presents the story from different angles and captures the reader’s attention despite using one or two financial terms hard to be immediately understood by the layperson.

In the final chapter of Knightmare on Wall Street, Perez reviews the immediate consequences of Knight’s acquisition by GETCO, a fierce competitor that participated in its rescue. There is no place for two CEOs, so Joyce leaves, not without pocketing a $7.5 million payout. How could he take that much money when his shareholders lost almost half a billion dollars? There must be something American regulators need to learn from China; drastic and expeditious action is one of them. It is a disturbing end to a thought-provoking and action-filled read.

Fed Comments Weigh on Asian Shares

Fed Comments Weigh on Asian Shares

Asian markets were spooked Wednesday by fears the U.S. may withdraw its bond-buying program, with stocks in Tokyo slumping 4% to record their biggest decline in over a month.

A sharply higher yen also fueled the drop in Japanese shares with exporters suffering heavily. The yen strengthened to ¥96.93 to the dollar in late Asian trade, compared with ¥97.73 late Tuesday in New York.

The selloff was sparked after two Federal Reserve officials said the central bank could start to withdraw its $85 billion-a-month bond-buying program as early as September, reigniting debate over when the central bank will start to taper. The U.S. stimulus measures have been responsible for heavy buying in Asia earlier this year as global investors sought higher-yielding assets throughout the region.

“A lack of clarity over the tapering scenario seems to be hitting the greenback” versus the yen, said Tim Waterer, senior trader at CMC Markets in Sydney.

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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian stocks follow Wall St down; dollar dips

GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian stocks follow Wall St down; dollar dips

SYDNEY, Aug 7 (Reuters) – Asian stocks fell to their lowest since mid-July early on Wednesday following a second day of losses on Wall Street as uncertainty about when the Federal Reserve will start to reduce stimulus kept a leash on market bulls.

The dollar ground lower against a basket of major currencies. It hit a six-week low against the yen, which in turn weighed on Japanese stocks.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan lost 0.4 percent, extending a 0.5 percent decline on Tuesday to trade at their lowest since July 19.

Tokyo’s Nikkei shed 2.4 percent to trade at one-week lows, with exporters such as Toyota Corp losing ground on concerns the stronger yen would erode their dollar earnings when repatriated.

“Because trading volume is likely to be thin, the cash market will likely be swayed by futures trading. The market is keeping an eye on the yen’s level as that has been the cause of recent volatility,” said Yutaka Miura, a senior technical analyst at Mizuho Securities.

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Global stock markets soft despite survey showing sharp improvement in US services sector

LONDON — Global stock markets retreated on Monday despite another strong U.S. economic report showing the service sector grew sharply last month.

The Institute for Supply Management’s index of service-sector growth rose to 56.0 points from 52.2 in June, the highest reading since February and above market expectations. Any reading over 50 indicates expansion and the higher the number, the strong the growth.

The findings echoed big gains in a separate survey of the manufacturing sector and offset concerns about a weak jobs report last week.

But with U.S. indexes near record highs, investors were reluctant to buy into stocks any more at a time when the Federal Reserve is getting ready to rein in its monetary stimulus plan.

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GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar steady before Fed, China shares gain on growth pledge

GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar steady before Fed, China shares gain on growth pledge

TOKYO, July 31 (Reuters) – Chinese shares rose after Beijing pledged to keep economic growth stable in the second half of the year, while the dollar held onto slight gains as market momentum stalled ahead of the outcome of the U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting on Wednesday.

European shares were expected to open steady, with London’s FTSE 100 seen up as much as 0.1 percent and Frankfurt’s DAX indicated flat, while U.S. S&P 500 index futures edged up 0.1 percent.

The dollar was steady against a basket of major currencies after a 0.2 percent rise on Tuesday. The dollar index is down 1.5 percent in July and set to post a second straight monthly loss for the first time since the turn of the year.

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Oil drops as Asian stock markets fall

Oil drops as Asian stock markets fall

West Texas Intermediate, the benchmark for U.S. crude, was down 39 cents to $104.31 per barrel at late afternoon Bangkok time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell 79 cents to close at $104.70 on Friday in New York.

Tetsu Emori, commodity markets fund manager at ASTMAZ Futures in Tokyo, said the weak performance of Japan’s stock market spilled over into energy trading. The benchmark Nikkei 225 index dropped 2.5 percent, weighed down by a strengthening yen and worries about China’s economy.

“The Japanese market is down very sharply,” he said. “That may be some of the reason” for crude’s decline.

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Japan stocks stumble to lead broad Asian losses

Japan stocks stumble to lead broad Asian losses

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — Japanese stocks ended at their lowest level in more than a month Monday as a strengthened yen weighed down exporters, while economic worries hurt mainland Chinese shares.

The Nikkei Stock Average JP:NIK -3.32%  ended 3.3% down at 13,661.13 for its lowest finish since June 27, while the Shanghai Composite CN:SHCOMP -1.72% fell 1.7%. Both benchmarks had also dropped in the previous three sessions.

The losses in Tokyo came ahead of a busy week of earnings, with Toyota Motor Corp.JP:7203 -4.07% TM -3.29% , Honda Motor Co.JP:7267 -3.03%   HMC -1.68% , Sony Corp.JP:6758 -3.56% SNE -1.25%  and Softbank Corp. JP:9984 -4.29%   SFTBF -3.21% due to announce their quarterly results and update their outlook.

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Asia Stocks Down on China’s Resistance to Inject Money in Markets

Asia Stocks Down on China’s Resistance to Inject Money in Markets

MANILA, Philippines— Asian stock markets floundered Friday as China pressed ahead with industrial restructuring that is partly to blame for slowing growth in the world’s No. 2 economy.

Beijing ordered companies to close factories in 19 industries where overproduction has led to price-cutting wars, affirming its determination to push ahead with a painful makeover of the economy. That move followed weak manufacturing data on Wednesday.

Communist leaders are trying to reduce reliance on investment and trade. But a slowdown that pushed China’s economic growth to a two-decade low of 7.5 percent last quarter had earlier prompted suggestions they might have to reverse course and stimulate the economy with more investment to reduce the threat of job losses and unrest.

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