How China tries to iron out the boom

How China tries to iron out the boomWith several major mining projects being put on ice this week, talk has quickly turned to whether the Australian mining boom is about to go bust.

Jumping on comments by Federal Resources Minister Martin Ferguson that “the resource boom is over”, the federal opposition has blamed the government’s mining and carbon taxes for BHP’s recent decision to shelve its $30 billion Olympic Dam extension project.

However, developments in the all-important iron ore industry suggest the drivers of the boom-and possible impending bust-lie not in Australia, but China.

Recent growth in the Australian iron ore sector has been driven by the rapid industrialisation of the Chinese economy.

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How Asia Will Fare if Europe Cracks

BY ALEX FRANGOS

As the Euro Zone Flirts With Disaster, Asian Economies Stand at Varying Degrees of Preparedness

HONG KONG—Greek elections may have assuaged fears of a European financial contagion spreading to Asia, at least for the moment. But as troubles brew in Spain, where borrowing costs shot up again Tuesday, and as Greece faces more painful cuts to meet bailout targets by September, many wonder who in Asia is most exposed should Europe’s economy and financial system finally crack.

Lessons from the 2008 financial crisis show that while all of Asia tends to get hit when the world economy shudders, the severity differs depending on which countries have the biggest trade and financial linkages to the rest …

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Nikkei ends at 5-week high, softer yen supports

By Dominic Lau TOKYO, June 21 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average broke above 8,800 for the first time in five weeks on Thursday, as sentiment was buoyed by a softer yen after the U.S. Federal Reserve held back from more aggressive stimulus steps to prop up the economy.

The benchmark Nikkei hit its highest closing level since May
17 and has recovered 7 percent from a six-month low on June 4.

Shrugging off a survey showing China’s vast manufacturing sector slowing for the eighth straight month, the Nikkei rose 0.8 percent to 8,824.07, driven by exporters, such as Honda Motor Co Ltd, up 3.5 percent, and Canon Inc, adding 1.4 percent. The Fed disappointed some investors by delivering only a limited expansion of monetary stimulus on Wednesday. It extended its “Operation Twist” beyond its original June expiration to the end of the year to boost the flagging U.S. recovery. It also cut its GDP growth estimates for the year.

“The fact they eased at all is a plus for the U.S. economy, while holding off on QE3 is good for the Japanese market as it didn’t strengthen the yen,” said Hideyuki Ishiguro, assistant manager of investment strategy at Okasan Securities.

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Evergrande stock tumbles on fraud accusation

By Chris Oliver, MarketWatch

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd. was drawn into the controversy over questionable accounting practices at listed Chinese companies Thursday, as its board denied allegations of financial impropriety leveled by the Los Angeles–based stock-commentary website Citron Research.

Evergrande
Signing ceremony for the development projects of Chongjiang Jiangjin Evergrande Splendor International Skiing Health Resort and Chongqing Yucai Middle School n January 2012.

The Hong Kong–listed shares of Evergrande HK:3333 -11.38%  EGRNF -6.14% ended down 11.4% at 3.97 Hong Kong dollars (51 U.S. cents), shedding 51 Hong Kong cents from its previous session’s close, and paring an earlier, steeper drop of as much as 88 Hong Kong cents.

Citron said in summary research posted on its website that it had concluded that Guangzhou-based Evergrande is “essentially an insolvent company that has consistently presented fraudulent information to the investing public.”

China Manufacturing Slump May Match That Of 2008 Crisis

By Bloomberg News – Jun 21, 2012

A worker sews shirts at a factory in Shenzhen, Guangdong province, China.

China’s manufacturing may shrink for an eighth month in June, matching the streak during the global financial crisis in a signal the government’s stimulus has yet to reverse the economy’s slowdown.

The preliminary reading was 48.1 for a purchasing managers’ index today from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics. Above-50 readings indicate expansion. The lowest crisis level was 40.9 in November 2008, when industrial production increased 5.4 percent from a year earlier, compared with a gain of 9.6 percent last month.

Today’s report contrasts with comments by officials expressing confidence growth will rebound, with President Hu Jintaosaying in remarks published June 17 that China has taken “targeted measures” to boost domestic demand. Asian stocks fell and the yuan weakened for a second day against the dollar.

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A Bric hits the wall

By P.F. Pune, May 31st 2012

INDIA’S economy has had some bad economic ideas inflicted on it over the past century, from imperial neglect to the cult of the village and big-ticket socialism. Maybe the concept of BRICs—a handful of emerging economies including India that were destined for fast growth—should be added to the list. It led to a bubble of complacency that is now being popped rather brutally. Growth in India was 5.3% in the three months to March—worse than the 6% expected, below the prior quarter and way below the close-to-double digit rates that were meant to be preordained and propel India to economic super-power status.

India, unlike the other BRIC countries, is still desperately poor.

Other BRICs have slowed too, including China and Brazil. But India’s GDP figures, the worst for at least nine years, will have a deep impact on the sub-continent. The country was meant to grow in its sleep—regardless of what happens in the rest of the world. A quick bounce back looks unlikely. The central bank has cut interest rates a little this year, but will struggle to loosen policy further given high inflation. The ruling coalition keeps on promising a bout of reforms to boost confidence, but it is so divided, its behaviour so erratic and its record of delivery so poor that few believe this will actually happen. Expectations for growth over the next couple of years will probably slip further, to 6%.

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Asia stocks gain as Fed hopes rise

By Virginia Harrison and Nick Godt, MarketWatch

Asian market indexes have shows increases in stock prices

MUMBAI (MarketWatch) — Asia markets rose Wednesday as hopes for a fresh round of stimulus to revitalize the U.S. economy buoyed sentiment, though trading volumes were light, suggesting caution in the markets.

Japan’s Nikkei Stock Average JP:100000018 +1.11%  outperformed with a gain of 1.1%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HK:HSI +0.53% rose 0.5%. South Korea’s KospiKR:SEU +0.65%  gained 0.7% and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index AU:XJO +0.22%  added 0.2%.

The Shanghai Composite CN:000001 -0.34%  bucked the trend, however, slipping 0.4%.

Upbeat U.S. housing data and the prospect of more monetary easing by the Federal Reserve helped to drive Wall Street stocks to five-week highs Tuesday. Read more on the U.S. session.

The U.S. central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee was slated to wrap up a two-day policy meeting later Wednesday, with many analysts expecting the Fed would step in to support the economic recovery through an extension of its “Operation Twist” program. Read a preview of the Fed meeting.

“Markets are edging up on hopes of quantitative-easing-type programs being implemented by the Fed in the next 24 hours,” said Tom Kaan, director equity sales at Louis Capital in Hong Kong.

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Korea Corporate Yield Premium Set To Rebound, UBS Hana Says

By Jiyeun Lee and Taejin Park – Jun 19, 2012

Kia Motors is rated AA at Korea Investors Service and the yield on its 4.18 percent bonds due November 2017 increased four basis points, or 0.04 percentage point, this month to 3.85 percent as of June 18, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Source: Kia Motor Corp. via Bloomberg

A rally in South Korea’s corporate debt is drawing to an end after yields on the securities fell to the lowest level in five years relative to government bonds, according to UBS Hana Asset Management Co.

The premium investors demand to hold three-year AA bonds instead of similar-maturity sovereign notes was 41 basis points on May 29, down 26 basis points from the start of the year and the lowest since September 2007, according to data compiled by Koscom Corp. The gap widened to 46 basis points on June 18 and may increase a further 20 basis points this year, according to Hwang Jae Hong, who oversees 12 trillion won ($10.4 billion) as head of fixed income at UBS Hana, a Seoul-based joint venture between UBS AG (UBSN) and Hana Financial Group.

“Company bonds gained from October as, with the central bank holding rates, investors didn’t see much opportunity in sovereign bonds,” Hwang said in a June 18 interview in Seoul. “There should now be a technical widening in corporate spreads with investors starting to reap gains, although Korean companies’ fundamentals are still strong.”

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Nikkei knocked off four-week high on persisting Europe fears

By Sophie Knight - June 19, 2012


Tokyo (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei share 
average retreated on Tuesday from the 
previous day's four-week high as the 
initially positive reception for Greece's 
election result was chilled by concerns 
about Spain's banking sector. The Nikkei 
fell 0.8 percent to 8,655.87 after 
rallying 1.8 percent on Monday to hit its 
highest close since May 22. 
Sharp Corp was  Tuesday's standout with a 
gain of 3.2 percent after Hon Hai Precision Industry said it was in discussions to 
increase its stake in the company. But investor jitters about an intractable 
euro zone crisis pushed down the overall market. "The Greek election didn't fix 
the situation; if anything the problems in Europe are only spreading," said Fujio 
Ando, managing director of Chibagin Asset Management. "The two-month gap between 
the polls also meant there was no government to get on with improving the situation 
either."

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China Happy Hour in New York City – What the US Can Learn From China, with Author, Ann Lee

China Happy Hour (http://www.ChinaHappyHour.com) Will Bring Together a Who’s Who of the Chinese and South Asian Business Communities, for an Evening of Networking and Cocktails in New York City, June 26

Reuters/Carlos Barria

(June 18, 2012, New York) Three decades ago, China was a rural economy with barely any exports. Last year, China succeeded Japan as the world’s second largest economy. Many predict it will be larger than the United States by 2020.

Ann Lee will provide an unvarnished assessment of China’s political economy and governance structure that can be applied to other governments regardless of ideology. Her message to Westerners: stop whining about the competition and stop treating China as the enemy. Rather than demonizing China, a more productive use of time and resources is to learn from this rising power in order to maximize the idle talent of millions of people.

Ann Lee is an adjunct professor at New York University, teaching finance and economics, and a senior fellow at the progressive think tank organization DEMOS.

She was also a visiting graduate economics professor at Beijing University and an adjunct finance professor at the Lubin School of Business at Pace University. Before that, she was an investment banker and partner at multi-billion dollar hedge fund firms.

Born in China and raised in the States, she has the unique perspective of understanding both worlds. Ms. Lee was educated at UC Berkeley, Princeton’s Woodrow Wilson School of International Affairs, and Harvard Business School.

She has served as a consultant to the Committee of Economic Development and the McKinsey Global Institute, and her articles have appeared in the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Forbes, Worth, and many other publications.

Ann Lee, author of What the U.S. Can Learn From China, and Senior Fellow with DEMOS, will provide an unvarnished assessment of China’s political economy and governance structure that can be applied to other governments regardless of ideology. Her message to Westerners: stop whining about the competition and stop treating China as the enemy. Rather than demonizing China, a more productive use of time and resources is to learn from this rising power in order to maximize the idle talent of millions of people.

Bringing popular speakers such as Ms. Lee makes Golden Networking’s China Happy Hour (http://www.Chinahappyhour.com), networking receptions so popular among executives and professionals with a focus on China and South Asia.

China Happy Hour will be held next Tuesday 26; these receptions have been known to attract executives and professionals not only from China but also from South Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Japan, and India, among other nationalities

 

China Happy Hour New York City is produced by Golden Networking (http://www.goldennetworking.net), the premier networking community for business executives, entrepreneurs and investors. Panelists, speakers and sponsors are invited to contact Golden Networking by sending an email to info@goldennetworking.net.