Brent crude fell slightly on Monday in choppy trading as oil markets balanced better-than-expected U.S. manufacturing data against signs of economic weakness in Asia and evidence of a new recession in the debt-saddled euro zone.
The international benchmark came under early pressure from data showing factory activity in No. 2 oil consumer China contracted, while euro zone manufacturing suffered the worst quarter for three years in the three months to September.
Prices briefly pushed higher in early U.S. activity after data showed U.S. manufacturing expanded in September, shaking off three months of weakness as new orders and employment picked up. The data helped keep U.S. crude in positive territory, even as Brent shook off gains to trade lower.
“This is a market that has plenty of excuses for moving higher,” energy analyst Tim Evans of Citi Futures Perspective said, pointing to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s latest quantitative easing and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
“But without stronger physical demand for petroleum, higher price levels will not be sustainable.”