China and US see progress on investment treaty

China and US see progress on investment treaty

The US and China have agreed to restart stalled negotiations on an investment treaty, with Beijing dropping efforts to protect some economic sectors. But talks struck a sour note over China’s handling of Edward Snowden.

For a while it seemed that the project was doomed, but it was revived during this year’s two-day Strategic and Economic Dialogue talks in Washington. The meeting has “paved the way for substantial negotiations” on a bilateral investment treaty, Chinese Commerce Minister Gao Hucheng told reporters.

The move was praised by both nations as a breakthrough. According to US Treasury Secretary Jack Lew, Beijing agreed for the first time to put all areas on the table on a treaty to govern investments. He said the step would “level the playing field” for US businesses seeking to enter the billion-plus market.

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Oil Ealls as European, Asian Economic Data Weighs

Brent crude fell slightly on Monday in choppy trading as oil markets balanced better-than-expected U.S. manufacturing data against signs of economic weakness in Asia and evidence of a new recession in the debt-saddled euro zone.

The international benchmark came under early pressure from data showing factory activity in No. 2 oil consumer China contracted, while euro zone manufacturing suffered the worst quarter for three years in the three months to September.

Prices briefly pushed higher in early U.S. activity after data showed U.S. manufacturing expanded in September, shaking off three months of weakness as new orders and employment picked up. The data helped keep U.S. crude in positive territory, even as Brent shook off gains to trade lower.

“This is a market that has plenty of excuses for moving higher,” energy analyst Tim Evans of Citi Futures Perspective said, pointing to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s latest quantitative easing and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

“But without stronger physical demand for petroleum, higher price levels will not be sustainable.”

 

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How America Can Beat China’s State Capitalism

With the rise of China as an economy, a question hangs in the air: Can America beat state capitalism? The evidence is not encouraging. The U.S. has lost millions of jobs to the Chinese. It will lose millions more if China, as it proposes, turns itself into a high-tech giant in critical industries ranging from telecommunications to aviation.

The rise of state capitalism has put the U.S. at a competitive disadvantage. State capitalism operates with zero-sum rules, in which one country gains as another loses. This is hardball competition, dog eat dog. And the Chinese dog is eating the American one in products ranging from cell phones to steel.

Zero-sum capitalism is not the form of capitalism U.S. policymakers see as the challenge in global markets. U.S. policymakers are guided instead by the idea of a win-win world. When everyone trades freely, business expands across the board. Every country wins. This free-market, open-trade approach is enshrined in the World Trade Organization.

But policymakers awkwardly straddle a gap in logic. A win-win is possible only if everyone wants to cooperate. China doesn’t. True, trade negotiators issue press releases hailing cooperation. But on the ground China keeps foreign companies from competing freely. It appropriates technology from foreign joint-venture partners without compensation. It regulates foreign firms with rules not faced by domestic ones. It bestows goodies on its firms—free land, cheap loans—to give them an edge.

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The Renminbi Won’t Replace the Dollar Any Time Soon

The latest stop on the renminbi’s whistle-stop tour to international stardom is Taiwan. From now on,Taiwanese banks will be able to clear transactions in the “redback”, making Taipei another offshore renminbi centre alongside Hong Kong. With Singapore and London jostling to be next and China now firmly established as the world’s second-largest economy, surely it can only be a matter of time before much of the world’s trade is settled in renminbi and central banks are holding a substantial part of their reserves in the Chinese currency?

Not so fast. The “internationalisation of the renminbi” – and never was something so vital for sophisticated dinner-party chatter so hard to pronounce – is as much hype as reality. A look at history is useful. By the time the dollar supplanted sterling as the go-to international currency around 1925, the US had been the world’s biggest economy for more than 40 years. Even then, it took the first world war and massive disruption of European trade to cement its place. True, China’s industrialisation is happening at warp-speed. It is possible that the internationalisation of its currency will move at a similar pace. But there are reasons to doubt that the renminbi is yet ready to join the dollar, or even the euro, as a global currency.

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Why Americans Should Root for a Strong China Economy

Both President Obama and Mitt Romney portray China as a rival flaunting trade deals in order to steal American jobs, but what voters aren’t hearing is that the recent slowdown by the Asian juggernaut may also hurt the U.S. economy.

A new report Thursday by the bank HSBC showed that Chinese manufacturing has declined for the past 11 months as demand in Europe has waned. Many economists doubt that China will return to developing at a steady 10 percent annual clip—and that potentially has negative repercussions for American workers whose livelihoods increasingly depend on that nation’s newfound wealth.

U.S. exports to China have increased by 541 percent over the past decade. More than 800,000 American jobs last year relied on the $103.9 billion in goods and services shipped to China last year, according to government data.

“We simply have to—as a country, America simply has to grow exports by about, I think, 14.5 percent every single year,” U.S. Ambassador to China Gary Locke said in a Washington speech last week. “The thing about China is that there’s a love affair with American goods, products and services.”

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Americans: China is an Economic Threat

Americans are concerned over China’s growing economic strength, and most want U.S. leaders to be tough with China on trade and economic issues, according to a new survey.

A full 78% of Americans say the large amount of U.S. debt held by China represents a serious problem, while solid majorities cite the outsourcing of jobs and the trade deficit as worrisome issues.

The survey, conducted by the Pew Research Center, also indicates that Americans are much more likely to be concerned by China’s growing economic might than even its military prowess.

The U.S. economy dwarfs that of China, which surpassed Japan in recent years to become the second largest in the world. But China is growing much more quickly than the United States. Even in a slowdown, China’s economy still registers more than 7% annual growth, compared to 2% or 3% for the U.S.

 

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Asia Now Home To Most Number Of Millionaires In The World

Americans are concerned over China’s growing economic strength, and most want U.S. leaders to be tough with China on trade and economic issues, according to a new survey.

A full 78% of Americans say the large amount of U.S. debt held by China represents a serious problem, while solid majorities cite the outsourcing of jobs and the trade deficit as worrisome issues.

The survey, conducted by the Pew Research Center, also indicates that Americans are much more likely to be concerned by China’s growing economic might than even its military prowess.

The U.S. economy dwarfs that of China, which surpassed Japan in recent years to become the second largest in the world. But China is growing much more quickly than the United States. Even in a slowdown, China’s economy still registers more than 7% annual growth, compared to 2% or 3% for the U.S.

 

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Asian Stocks Rise on Stimulus Speculation Before FOMC

Asian stocks rose, with the regional benchmark index heading for a third day of advance, as reports from the U.S., China and Japan that showed slowing growth in the world’s biggest economies stoked speculation central banks will add to stimulus measures.

Samsung Electronics Co., the world’s biggest mobile-phone maker by sales, gained 1 percent in Seoul. Rio Tinto Group (RIO), the world’s third-largest mining company, climbed 3.8 percent in Sydney as copper futures headed for a second day of advance. Lend Lease Group, Australia’s No. 1 property developer, sank 4.7 percent after disclosing discrepancies in two projects.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.1 percent to 119.26 as of 11:13 a.m. in Tokyo, with almost five shares rising for every four that fell. The gauge posted its biggest advance this year on Sept. 7 after the European Central Bank unveiled a bond- buying program and China boosted stimulus measures.

“Following the weak U.S. jobs report, the backdrop is ideal to act this week and deliver more quantitative easing,” said George Boubouras, Melbourne-based head of investment strategy at UBS AG’s Australian wealth management unit. The Swiss bank has about $1.5 trillion in assets under management. “This week is looking like the last window for the Fed to act,” before the U.S. election.

 

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US Warns Asia-Pacific Leaders over Territorial Rows

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton

Increasingly tense territorial rows in the Asia-Pacific threaten the global economy, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton warned Sunday at the end of a leaders’ summit plagued by divisions.

The annual gathering of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) heads was meant to build goodwill in long-term efforts to tear down trade barriers within their bloc, which accounts for more than half of the world’s economic output.
 
While progress was made to cut tariffs on environmentally friendly goods, and commitments renewed to fight protectionism, bitter territorial disputes disrupted the two-day event in Russia’s port city of Vladivostok.
 
Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda and Chinese President Hu Jintao did not hold customary talks on the summit sidelines because of a row. Similarly Noda and South Korea’s Lee Myung-Bak — both allies of Washington — shunned each other.
 
Philippine President Benigno Aquino also failed to meet with Hu, after declaring it his top priority beforehand.
 
The Philippines and China have endured months of bruising diplomacy over competing claims to the South China Sea — of which Beijing claims almost all — including a maritime standoff.

 

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China’s Purchase Sends Soybean Price Higher

China's purchase sends soybean price higherThe price of soybeans climbed Tuesday after China bought more of the protein-rich beans to feed its growing population.

Soybeans for November delivery rose 3.5 cents Tuesday to finish at $17.225 per bushel.

China is buying U.S. soybeans at a rate of about 5 million metric tons per month. The U.S. Agriculture Department said Tuesday that China bought an additional 110,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery after Sept. 1.

Global soybean supplies were critically low before the devastating drought hit crops in the Midwest. As of Sunday, about 38 percent of the U.S. soybean crop was in poor to very poor condition.

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